Part of: France vs. Spain

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

32 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,759,287.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Whale-led No cluster

A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
  • This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$869,987 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Whale-led No cluster

A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
  • This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$1,205,676 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Whale-led No cluster

A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
  • This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$1,134,420 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Whale-led No cluster

A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
  • This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$1,799,260 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Whale-led No cluster

A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
  • This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$285,065 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Whale-led No cluster

A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
  • This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$102,547 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Whale-led No cluster

A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
  • This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$318,026 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Whale-led No cluster

A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
  • This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$369,763 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Three-wallet NO surge

Surfacing mainly for coordinated pre-game flow: three wallets bought $217K of No while this wallet added to an already large No position, though the wallet’s long-term record is weak.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, putting $217K into No before kickoff.
  • This wallet is adding to a large existing No position, with about $530K already invested.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, supporting the move despite this being a very liquid market.

$113,361 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%

Three-wallet NO surge

Surfacing mainly for coordinated pre-game flow: three wallets bought $217K of No while this wallet added to an already large No position, though the wallet’s long-term record is weak.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, putting $217K into No before kickoff.
  • This wallet is adding to a large existing No position, with about $530K already invested.
  • Market volume is running 13x above normal, supporting the move despite this being a very liquid market.

$57,422 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 11400828, $2,079,643
  2. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 25312457, $1,538,114 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x85f0...3f67 Outcome 25312457, $1,199,996 (98% win rate)
  4. 0x709e...66f5 Outcome 25312457, $989,259 (47% win rate)
  5. 0x8a26...73c3 Outcome 25312457, $587,037 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xc29e...a2ca Outcome 25312457, $522,528 (44% win rate)
  7. 0x8fbb...9a17 Outcome 25312457, $483,176 (53% win rate)
  8. 0xbf32...3b90 Outcome 25312457, $434,023 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x1bbe...776d Outcome 25312457, $330,000 (47% win rate)
  10. 0x5dab...22e1 Outcome 25312457, $316,566 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Favorites advance, Spain Netherlands miss

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

ResolvedFrance vs. Spain$7,759,287 tracked32 signalsSoccerSportsGamesFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 14, 2026 If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
102¢
79¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$869,987 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$1,205,676 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$1,134,420 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$1,799,260 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$285,065 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$102,547 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$318,026 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$369,763 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$113,361 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$57,422 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$153,174 on No at 61¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

4d ago

$59,750 on No at 60¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$1,024,957 on No at 64¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

4d ago

$1,294 on Yes at 40¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

4d ago

$7,110 on Yes at 41¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

4d ago

$1,196 on Yes at 40¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

4d ago

$8,300 on No at 58¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

5d ago

$3,716 on Yes at 41¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

5d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 41¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

5d ago

$2,050 on No at 59¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$8,400 on No at 58¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$8,400 on No at 58¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$10,000 on Yes at 43¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

3d ago

$118,339 on Yes at 41¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$5,590 on Yes at 43¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$6,666 on Yes at 43¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$2,900 on No at 58¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$2,639 on No at 58¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$16,240 on No at 58¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$1,300 on Yes at 43¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

6d ago

$49,300 on No at 58¢

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

7d ago

$9,438 on Yes at 42¢

Related Theses