France vs. Spain
45 signals across 3 markets · $8,926,951 tracked · resolves Jul 14, 2026
France vs. Spain is a FIFA World Cup prediction market event for their scheduled July 14, 2026 matchup. PolySpotter tracks the available France win market, live odds movement, and smart money activity, including a recent signal tied to a 98% win-rate sports sharp.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 15-wallet No surge
A very large 15-wallet No cluster, including sharp wallets and fresh adds to existing positions, pushed the market sharply toward France not winning near the scheduled end.
$1,024,957Score: 12.6 - 15-wallet funded NO cluster
A large linked-wallet cluster is backing No with nearly $230k, supported by a few strong track records, though the market has since moved sharply against their 70¢ entries.
$139,029Score: 11.7 - 90% winner joins 36-wallet wave
Proven 90% winner is adding to a France Yes position alongside a large 36-wallet same-direction wave.
$1,294Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 10.9 - Sharp trader trimming Yes
A proven high-win-rate cross-market trader is reducing a large France Yes position, making the marginal copy trade a Buy No at 58¢, though it looks more like de-risking than a full reversal.
$8,300Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 10.7 - Serial sharp adding Yes
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Yes position at 41¢.
$7,110Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 10.3 - Sharp wallets buying draw
Large coordinated Yes buying is worth surfacing because an elite 98% winning wallet and a profitable new whale are adding heavily to an already large draw position despite the price moving against them.
$305,445Score: 10.3 - 23-wallet sharp steam
A large 23-wallet one-sided move bought Spain heavily around 53–56¢ before the market surged to 87¢, with several profitable serial sports traders and sharp wallets participating.
$277,931Score: 10.0 - Proven sharps adding Yes
Three wallets are adding $29.4K to France Yes at 41¢, led by a highly profitable 92% winner and another repeat cross-market bettor with an 85% record.
$118,339Score: 7.3 - Perfect-record bettor adding NO
A perfect-record sports bettor is adding to a No position alongside one-sided flow from four wallets, making this worth surfacing despite the market being highly liquid.
$2,100Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.9 - 97% winner adding to NO
Proven sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate is adding a large $67.6k No position, with linked-wallet context supporting the move.
$67,641Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 6.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0x09b428…7320$6,237,919 · 1 market · 9 alerts · 62% wins
- 0xe54958…2d54$225,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 99% wins
- 0x709e8d…66f5$170,783 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 47% wins
- 0xc430e5…1ebf$84,190 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$71,079 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x5ad734…ae48$67,641 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xdb859a…152f$60,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$59,750 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x18b84c…c368$25,100 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 83% wins
- 0xf3816d…40c2$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
FAQs
What are the France vs Spain odds on Polymarket?
This event hub tracks the Polymarket odds for France vs. Spain, currently focused on whether France will win on July 14, 2026. Odds can move as traders react to team news, betting flow, and smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on France vs Spain?
PolySpotter has tracked $9,438 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal highlighted by an alert referencing a 98% win-rate sports sharp.
Can I track France vs Spain as a prediction market?
Yes. This event page follows the France vs. Spain World Cup prediction market and summarizes the tradable outcome currently listed: whether France wins the match.
When does the France vs Spain market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve around July 14, 2026 at 19:00 UTC, based on the official result and the market rules on Polymarket.