Part of: France vs. Spain
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 14, 2026 If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
32 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,759,287.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Whale-led No cluster
A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
- This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$869,987 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Whale-led No cluster
A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
- This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$1,205,676 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Whale-led No cluster
A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
- This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$1,134,420 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Whale-led No cluster
A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
- This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$1,799,260 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Whale-led No cluster
A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
- This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$285,065 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Whale-led No cluster
A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
- This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$102,547 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Whale-led No cluster
A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
- This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$318,026 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Whale-led No cluster
A large bettor added $153k to an already sizable No position while 3 wallets bought the same side for $217k during a pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $217k on No.
- This wallet added $153k at 61¢ and already has $776k invested in No.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$369,763 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Three-wallet NO surge
Surfacing mainly for coordinated pre-game flow: three wallets bought $217K of No while this wallet added to an already large No position, though the wallet’s long-term record is weak.
- Three wallets bought the same side, putting $217K into No before kickoff.
- This wallet is adding to a large existing No position, with about $530K already invested.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, supporting the move despite this being a very liquid market.
$113,361 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Three-wallet NO surge
Surfacing mainly for coordinated pre-game flow: three wallets bought $217K of No while this wallet added to an already large No position, though the wallet’s long-term record is weak.
- Three wallets bought the same side, putting $217K into No before kickoff.
- This wallet is adding to a large existing No position, with about $530K already invested.
- Market volume is running 13x above normal, supporting the move despite this being a very liquid market.
$57,422 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,079,643
- 0x85f0...3f67 — Yes, $1,199,996 (99% win rate)
- 0xc29e...a2ca — Yes, $522,528 (44% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — Yes, $483,176 (53% win rate)
- 0xbf32...3b90 — Yes, $434,023 (100% win rate)
- 0x1bbe...776d — Yes, $330,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x155b...bb60 — Yes, $310,000
- 0x94d7...bef5 — Yes, $305,501 (87% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Yes, $304,690 (89% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Yes, $150,000 (61% win rate)
Related Theses
Favorites advance, Spain Netherlands miss
Covers 7 related markets
Colts beat Commanders decisively
Covers 5 related markets
Steelers cover the spread
Covers 3 related markets
Ravens-Cowboys stays close and low-scoring
Covers 3 related markets
76ers win by eight or more
Covers 3 related markets
