Part of: Luxembourg vs. Italy

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,518.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

83% winner buying favorite

Sharp sports bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Italy Yes amid strong recent market momentum.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $39k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 73 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Italy Yes has already moved up 23 points in a day, and this sharp wallet is still buying at 89¢.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

97% winner buying momentum

A highly proven sports bettor with a 97% win rate is buying Italy Yes into strong volume and price momentum.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 1,387 resolved bets and is up $61K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 72 events with over $5.8M invested, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Italy Yes has surged 25 points with a 22.8x volume spike, and this sharp wallet is still buying at 88¢.

$4,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Serial winner buying favorite

A proven serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved record bought Italy Yes amid a major volume spike and sharp price move upward.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 113 resolved bets and is up $6.2K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events, with $105K in similar activity tracked.
  • Market momentum supports the trade: volume is 22.8x normal and Yes has jumped about 25 percentage points.

$1,146 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

85% winner buying Italy

Sharp sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Italy Yes, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $33,750 lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 34 events with the same 85% hit rate.
  • They bought Yes at 87¢, showing strong conviction even though the market is currently much cheaper.

$1,478 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a long history is taking a contrarian No position against Italy at 38¢.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 144 resolved trades and is up about $160k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 86 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 38¢ on No is now cheaper around 32¢, giving followers a better price than the trader got.

$3,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

88% winner fading Italy

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $1.3M profit bought Italy No, overriding the modest trade size and liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $1.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 312 events with $2.3M in tracked cross-market volume.
  • They bought No at 36¢, taking the underdog side against a market pricing Italy around 68% to win.

$1,192 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 72% win record is buying Italy Yes at 70¢, though the edge is modest and the market is liquid.

  • This bettor has 486 resolved trades, wins 72% of them, and is up $21k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 82 events, suggesting a repeat sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 70¢ implies they see Italy as more likely than the current market price.

$2,950 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp bettor fading favorite

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, making a contrarian No bet worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $15.2K lifetime.
  • They are buying No at 32¢ against a 68% market favorite, a clear contrarian position.
  • Their past wins came at average 64¢ odds, suggesting a meaningful record rather than just heavy favorites.

$1,650 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Pre-match volume surge

A large pre-match volume spike with a 6-point daily move toward Italy makes this worth surfacing despite the wallet's negative lifetime P&L.

  • A normally quiet market saw a 764x volume spike before kickoff.
  • Italy has moved up 6 points in the last day, matching the direction of this buy.
  • The trade bought Yes at 70¢, slightly above the current 68–69¢ market.

$4,881 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp linked cluster buying Yes

Four wallets, including a highly profitable 88% winner and linked accounts, bought Italy Yes together at 67¢ on a liquid sports market.

  • A bettor who wins 88% of resolved trades is in this cluster and is up nearly $3.0M lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought the same side within seconds, with two sharing a funder.
  • The lead wallets are serial cross-market sports traders with millions in prior volume.

$5,831 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5eb...93bf Outcome 45982382, $26,402 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x8806...2e83 Outcome 45982382, $15,261 (72% win rate)
  3. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 45982382, $9,952 (64% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 45982382, $9,503
  5. 0x52d9...fb1a Outcome 45982382, $6,956 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x7673...fa40 Outcome 45982382, $2,871 (98% win rate)
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 45982382, $2,353 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x8e8d...acc4 Outcome 45982382, $1,870
  9. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 45982382, $1,600 (88% win rate)
  10. 0x8edb...a929 Outcome 45982382, $1,357

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Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

ResolvedLuxembourg vs. Italy$35,518 tracked14 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 3, 2026 If Italy wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 89¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$4,400 on Yes at 88¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$1,146 on Yes at 87¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$1,478 on Yes at 87¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$3,500 on No at 38¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$1,192 on No at 36¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$2,950 on Yes at 70¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$1,650 on No at 32¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$4,881 on Yes at 70¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$5,831 on Yes at 67¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

28d ago

$1,056 on Yes at 66¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

29d ago

$1,329 on Yes at 67¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

33d ago

$1,500 on Yes at 60¢

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

33d ago

$1,604 on Yes at 60¢

Related Theses