Part of: Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $78,301.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
9-wallet de Minaur cluster
A 4-day-old wallet with repeated large betting activity joined a 9-wallet one-sided push into Alex de Minaur at 53¢, and that side has since moved to a resolved 100%.
- Nine wallets all piled into Alex de Minaur for about $29k total, including linked funding between some accounts.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already been flagged 22 times for large bets, showing unusually aggressive early activity.
- They bought de Minaur at 53¢, and that side has since gone to 100%, a strong signal the group had the right read.
$1,282 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 61%
76% win-rate sports sharp
A high-volume serial sports trader with a strong long-term edge is buying into a match drawing unusual pre-event activity, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the price slipping after entry.
- This bettor wins 76% of 795 resolved trades and is up about $388k lifetime
- They have bet across 50 different events for more than $116k total, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
- This match saw a 21x jump in activity, and they bought Rafael Jodar at 82¢ before the market moved down to 77¢
$4,797 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 77%
11-wallet linked tennis surge
A linked 11-wallet cluster piled nearly $50k into Rafael Jodar as the market ripped from roughly 46-82¢ to 100%, and at least one participant has a strong 76% win-rate record across hundreds of resolved bets.
- 11 linked wallets stacked nearly $50k on Rafael Jodar in a coordinated push that drove the price to 100%.
- One of the main wallets wins 76% of its bets across 797 resolved markets and is up about $393k lifetime.
- Several buys came between 46¢ and 69¢ before the market fully repriced, implying they saw a major mismatch in the odds.
$49,084 on Rafael Jodar
5-wallet Jodar cluster
A very new wallet is part of a 5-wallet coordinated push into Rafael Jodar ahead of a sharp volume and price spike, making this a notable momentum and conviction signal despite no proven track record yet.
- Five wallets piled into Rafael Jodar together for $15k, with 2 of them linked by funding.
- This wallet is only 4 days old but has already been flagged 21 times and put over $29k to work.
- The bets hit at 53-55¢ before the market jumped to 66¢ on a 49x volume spike.
$2,567 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 61%
5-wallet Jodar cluster
A very new wallet joined a 5-wallet coordinated buy into Rafael Jodar during a sharp volume and price surge, suggesting conviction worth watching despite the small individual ticket size.
- Five wallets piled into Rafael Jodar on the same side for $15k total, and 2 of them share funding links.
- This wallet is only 16 hours old and is already making near-$1k bets after opening 2 positions.
- The market saw a 49x volume spike and Jodar jumped 18 points, showing fast money moving this line.
$992 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 100%
84% winner leads cluster
Three wallets bought Alex de Minaur in sync, and one is a high-volume bettor with an 84% win rate across 803 markets, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite the other two weaker wallets.
- Three wallets bought Alex de Minaur within 8 minutes for $5.1k total, showing coordinated conviction.
- One wallet wins 84% of resolved bets across 803 markets and is up about $87k lifetime.
- They entered at 54¢, suggesting they see de Minaur as meaningfully better than a coin flip.
$5,951 on Alex de Minaur
84% win-rate sharp
An 84% win-rate serial cross-market trader with over $1.17M in volume bought Alex de Minaur, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 84% of their resolved trades across 841 bets and has tracked profit of about $87k
- They have traded 802 markets across 332 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Alex de Minaur at 54¢, a fairly liquid entry that still suggests they see the favorite as underpriced
$1,598 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 84%
Proven sharp backing Jodar
A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 73% win rate bought Rafael Jodar at 47¢, making this a notable sharp-money signal despite only one strategy firing.
- This bettor has won 2,534 of 3,494 resolved markets and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They've traded 1,148 markets across 954 events, so this looks like a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off punt
- Bought Rafael Jodar at 47¢ in a liquid market, implying they see the underdog as better than a coin flip
$3,232 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 67%
Proven sharp backing underdog
A very active and highly profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate put $4.2k on Rafael Jodar at 46¢, making this a notable sharp-money signal despite only one detection flag.
- This bettor has won 2,533 of 3,493 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They trade heavily across related markets with nearly $8.8M deployed, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
- Bought Rafael Jodar at 46¢ while the market slightly drifted down, suggesting they see the underdog as mispriced
$4,169 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 67%
94% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 94% win rate and long history is backing Alex de Minaur at 51¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $451k across 174 bets
- They have made $363k of cross-market bets across 60 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off pick
- They bought Alex de Minaur at 51¢, a near coin-flip price that leaves room if their read is right
$1,949 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 69160107, $29,101 (67% win rate)
- 0x8a6c...0b3f — Outcome 69160107, $26,441 (50% win rate)
- 0xbca1...dd13 — Outcome 69160107, $9,430 (73% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Outcome 69160107, $8,810 (93% win rate)
- 0x7234...1d85 — Outcome 69160107, $7,524 (84% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 69160107, $4,894 (80% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 69160107, $3,322 (53% win rate)
- 0xe5b3...49f8 — Outcome 69160107, $2,982 (79% win rate)
- 0xe394...289c — Outcome 69160107, $2,959 (84% win rate)
- 0x7f64...6ddf — Outcome 69160107, $1,870
