Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,032.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1) Deprec, Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)

Notable Trades

Profitable sharp buying No

Profitable 80% wallet flipped into No on a quiet SPY level market, with cross-market positioning and a bet that made up most of recent volume.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $20.6K lifetime.
  • The $1.4K No buy was 77% of recent volume in a quiet market.
  • They are also positioned across a related SPY market, suggesting a broader thesis.

$1,423 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial macro trader

A profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a relatively large No position in a thin SPY level market, with the bet exceeding recent daily volume.

  • This bettor has a long record: 65% wins across 564 resolved trades and $68k in lifetime profit.
  • They are active across related markets, with 41 events and $436k traded in this pattern.
  • This $2.6k No buy is 154% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet order book.

$2,609 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5950...8c48 Outcome 10959250, $3,203 (33% win rate)
  2. 0x5be9...9106 Outcome 10959250, $1,594
  3. 0x6f2a...de7d Outcome 10959250, $780
  4. 0x913d...1508 Outcome 10959250, $645
  5. 0x6436...da96 Outcome 10959250, $342 (88% win rate)
  6. 0xc2d2...1615 Outcome 10959250, $300
  7. 0xa598...2ff3 Outcome 10959250, $250
  8. 0xb424...3b71 Outcome 10959250, $230
  9. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 10959250, $139
  10. 0x3329...43a6 Outcome 10959250, $100

Related Theses

Iran deal timing arbitrage

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Crude stays range-bound June

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LPL will not win Worlds

Covers 1 related market

Iran uranium deal after July

Covers 2 related markets

Fed will not hike in 2026

Covers 1 related market

Iran ceasefire will collapse

Covers 1 related market

G2 Esports will win LEC Summer Split

Covers 1 related market

Iran airspace closes late May

Covers 2 related markets

KT Rolster will win

Covers 1 related market

Fed holds rates steady

Covers 2 related markets

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?

ResolvedWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?$4,032 tracked2 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceStocksEquitiesSPYRewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1) DeprecRewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?

58d ago

$1,423 on No at 88¢

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?

77d ago

$2,609 on No at 58¢

Related Theses