25 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $576k in Yes positions. This fresh wallet put $13.4k on Yes and has already been flagged twice in its first 2 days. The market has moved sharply toward Yes, with odds up about 22 points in 24 hours on heavy volume.

Part of: United States vs. Paraguay

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,628,770.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

87% winner buying Yes

Elite 87% win-rate wallet with $1.53M lifetime profit bought $13.5k of Yes at 88–89¢ amid a major pre-event volume and price spike.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime.
They put $13.5k on Yes across three buys at 88–89¢.
The market saw a 22x volume spike and Yes moved up 18 points around the trade.

$13,453 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

93% winner leads No cluster

A 93% win-rate wallet with $3.5M lifetime profit is leading a large 18-wallet No cluster despite a highly liquid market.

The lead buyer wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $3.5M lifetime.
18 wallets put $242K on No, including 3 linked wallets sharing the same funder.
Entry around 28¢ implies they see value fading the U.S. win odds near 72%.

$241,675 on No

New profitable repeat bettor

A brand-new wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early profit is buying into a sports market with a major pre-event volume spike.

A 1-day-old wallet has made 3 flagged bets totaling $5.6K and is up $1.7K early.
This market saw a 19x pre-game volume spike, with Yes up 23 points over the day.
They paid 76¢ for Yes, while the market is now around 72¢.

$1,686 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%

$10M-profit bettor joins cluster

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is making a $177.8k BUY Yes bet alongside a 22-wallet one-sided flow and an 83x volume spike.

This bettor has made over $10.1M lifetime profit across 1,612 resolved bets.
22 wallets are all buying Yes, totaling about $698k in the same direction.
Market volume is surging 83x above its normal pace ahead of the game.

$14,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

25-wallet Yes surge

Strong one-sided flow: 25 wallets bought Yes for about $576k, alongside a fresh repeat whale entry, volume spike, and major upward price move.

25 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $576k in Yes positions.
This fresh wallet put $13.4k on Yes and has already been flagged twice in its first 2 days.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, with odds up about 22 points in 24 hours on heavy volume.

$13,354 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

93% winner joins Yes cluster

Sharp 93% winner joined a large one-sided cluster buying Yes, with heavy volume and a 24-point price move supporting the direction.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $48.4k lifetime.
25 wallets bought the same side for $575.8k, including linked wallets sharing funders.
The market moved up 24 points on a 23x volume spike, confirming strong momentum behind Yes.

$4,265 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

38-wallet Yes surge

High-conviction one-sided flow: 38 wallets, including linked wallets, pushed strongly into Yes with a major volume spike and 23-point price move.

38 wallets are all betting Yes, totaling about $575K in the same direction.
Nine wallets appear linked by funding, suggesting coordinated high-conviction positioning.
The market has surged 22 points in 24 hours alongside a 44x volume spike.

$5,111 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%

38-wallet Yes surge

Strong coordinated Yes flow from 38 wallets, including linked funding, backed by a highly profitable high-volume trader and a major price move.

38 wallets bought the same side for about $575k, with 9 tied to linked funding.
This bettor is up $3.6M lifetime across a very large sample of resolved markets.
The trade entered at 46¢ before Yes moved to 72¢, suggesting the sharp money caught a major repricing.

$3,441 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

91% winner joins 38-wallet push

Elite 91% lifetime winner is buying Yes alongside a large 38-wallet one-sided push, with volume and price both surging.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $681K lifetime.
38 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $575K in Yes flow.
The market has seen a 44x volume spike and Yes is up 23 points, supporting the move.

$1,221 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

98% winner backing No

Elite 98% win-rate wallet with nearly $2M profit is buying No alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with a 98% hit rate.
Seven wallets have bought the same side for about $1.5M, with market volume spiking 81x.

$6,360 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

0x5e4d...b874 — Outcome 10376207, $2,880,950 (100% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10376207, $1,350,788
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 10376207, $1,161,605 (90% win rate)
0x38f0...2768 — Outcome 10376207, $987,495 (93% win rate)
0x5966...f804 — Outcome 10376207, $706,044 (95% win rate)
0xc31d...4ebe — Outcome 10376207, $399,998 (52% win rate)
0x4064...f741 — Outcome 10376207, $256,975 (100% win rate)
0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 10376207, $211,107 (89% win rate)
0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 10376207, $190,346 (60% win rate)
0x4bff...fc26 — Outcome 10376207, $174,999 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Knicks Cavaliers stay under

Covers 4 related markets

Türkiye avoids defeat

Covers 3 related markets

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Canadiens win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win by three

Covers 14 related markets

Spain routs in goalfest

Covers 9 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

Czechia won't beat Korea

Covers 3 related markets

Canada-Bosnia match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

ResolvedUnited States vs. Paraguay$4,628,770 tracked50 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 12, 2026 If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.