Part of: Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

This prediction market asks whether Anthropic’s market capitalization will be $1.8 trillion or greater at the closing price on its first day of trading, if it IPOs by December 31, 2027. If Anthropic does not IPO by the deadline, the market resolves to “No IPO by December 31, 2027.” PolySpotter currently tracks $1,022 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,174.

Categories: Big Tech, Anthropic, IPO, IPOs, AI, Finance, Claude, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec, Anthropic IPO, anthropic, Tech, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

New repeat whale buying YES

A 3-day-old wallet with 18 recent large-bet flags is making another concentrated Yes bet in a relatively thin long-dated Anthropic IPO valuation market.

  • This brand-new wallet has already been flagged 18 times, with about $36K in notable bets.
  • The $2K buy was larger than recent market activity, equal to about 144% of the signal’s 24h volume.
  • Entry at 49¢ implies they see meaningful upside on Anthropic reaching a $1.8T IPO-day market cap.

$1,022 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

New repeat whale buying YES

A 3-day-old wallet with 18 recent large-bet flags is making another concentrated Yes bet in a relatively thin long-dated Anthropic IPO valuation market.

  • This brand-new wallet has already been flagged 18 times, with about $36K in notable bets.
  • The $2K buy was larger than recent market activity, equal to about 144% of the signal’s 24h volume.
  • Entry at 49¢ implies they see meaningful upside on Anthropic reaching a $1.8T IPO-day market cap.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

New wallet quiet-market bet

A brand-new wallet made a $1.15k No bet that is over 6x the market's 24h volume on a very quiet long-dated Anthropic IPO valuation market.

  • A wallet less than 1 day old put $1,152 on No in a market with only $190 traded in the last 24 hours.
  • The bet is more than 6x daily volume, suggesting unusually strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • The market is thin but has a tight 2¢ spread, so this position likely reflects a deliberate view rather than random noise.

$1,152 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x843e...d2f3 No, $21,190
  2. 0x7365...64da Yes, $11,404 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $10,766
  4. 0x3764...c5eb No, $6,673 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x81f0...71ed Yes, $5,700
  6. 0x8c44...fcd4 Yes, $5,374 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x460a...e696 Yes, $2,091 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xd5b9...e44e Yes, $1,765 (59% win rate)
  9. 0xe7fe...24e5 Yes, $1,658
  10. 0xc7d0...1f8a Yes, $1,471

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Starmer out by June 2026

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WTI slides to $65

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AI giants IPO before 2027

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OpenAI IPO by September 2026

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Gold stays rangebound in June

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Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

507dAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)$4,174 tracked3 signalsBig TechAnthropicIPOIPOsAIFinanceClaudeRewards 50, 4.5, 100 DeprecAnthropic IPOanthropicTechRewards 50, 4.5, 100
Yes
41¢
No
60¢

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Price History — “No
63¢
61¢
58¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

31d ago

$1,022 on Yes at 49¢

49¢41¢8¢

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

55d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 49¢

49¢41¢8¢

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

88d ago

$1,152 on No at 72¢

72¢60¢12¢

Related Theses