Part of: Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
This prediction market asks whether Anthropic will reach a market capitalization of at least $1.8 trillion at the closing price on its first trading day. It resolves on the IPO’s first-day closing market cap, or to “No IPO by December 31, 2027” if Anthropic does not go public by the deadline. Live market odds were not included in the supplied metadata.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,249.
Categories: Big Tech, Anthropic, IPO, IPOs, AI, Finance, Claude, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec, Anthropic IPO, anthropic, Tech, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Sharp serial trader adds to Yes
A proven, highly profitable serial trader is adding $2,075 to an existing Yes position at 83% odds in a thin market.
- This bettor wins 88% of 181 resolved trades, with $129,184 in profit and a 20-point edge over average implied odds.
- The $2,075 purchase was more than 14,000% of the detected $15 scan-window volume, showing unusually concentrated conviction in a thin market.
- This is an add-on to an existing Yes position, and the trader has placed bets across 48 markets and 47 events.
$2,075 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
New repeat whale buying YES
A 3-day-old wallet with 18 recent large-bet flags is making another concentrated Yes bet in a relatively thin long-dated Anthropic IPO valuation market.
- This brand-new wallet has already been flagged 18 times, with about $36K in notable bets.
- The $2K buy was larger than recent market activity, equal to about 144% of the signal’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see meaningful upside on Anthropic reaching a $1.8T IPO-day market cap.
$1,022 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New repeat whale buying YES
A 3-day-old wallet with 18 recent large-bet flags is making another concentrated Yes bet in a relatively thin long-dated Anthropic IPO valuation market.
- This brand-new wallet has already been flagged 18 times, with about $36K in notable bets.
- The $2K buy was larger than recent market activity, equal to about 144% of the signal’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see meaningful upside on Anthropic reaching a $1.8T IPO-day market cap.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet quiet-market bet
A brand-new wallet made a $1.15k No bet that is over 6x the market's 24h volume on a very quiet long-dated Anthropic IPO valuation market.
- A wallet less than 1 day old put $1,152 on No in a market with only $190 traded in the last 24 hours.
- The bet is more than 6x daily volume, suggesting unusually strong conviction in a quiet market.
- The market is thin but has a tight 2¢ spread, so this position likely reflects a deliberate view rather than random noise.
$1,152 on No
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $19,989
- 0x5188...c804 — No, $14,043 (82% win rate)
- 0x843e...d2f3 — No, $9,543
- 0x8c44...fcd4 — Yes, $7,079 (83% win rate)
- 0x7365...64da — Yes, $7,067 (59% win rate)
- 0x3764...c5eb — No, $6,665 (69% win rate)
- 0xa5d8...ff3a — Yes, $6,287 (88% win rate)
- 0x7eaa...fd24 — Yes, $4,345 (91% win rate)
- 0xa3cc...447c — Yes, $3,852 (62% win rate)
- 0x6b32...3535 — Yes, $3,386 (50% win rate)
Related Theses
Magomedov beats Oleksiejczuk
Covers 1 related market
Yakhyaev beats Walker
Covers 1 related market
Argentina wins on July 11
Covers 1 related market
Mexico advances past Ecuador
Covers 1 related market
England advances over DR Congo
Covers 1 related market
Brazil fails to win
Covers 1 related market
Netherlands advances past Morocco
Covers 1 related market
United States advances past Bosnia
Covers 1 related market
France advances past Sweden
Covers 1 related market
Sadykhov beats Camilo
Covers 1 related market
