Part of: Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena

Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,357.

Notable Trades

Profitable sports wallets align

Three wallets, including two very large profitable sports bettors, bought $14.4k of Pellegrino into a 22x pre-match volume spike.

Three wallets bought the same side for $14.4k, creating a clear one-way flow before the match.
Two of the wallets are long-running profitable bettors, up about $3.4M and $815k lifetime.
Market volume is 22x above its historical pace, suggesting this is part of a broader pre-match move.

$14,423 on Andrea Pellegrino

Sharp bettor exits favorite

A highly profitable 80% win-rate tennis bettor is exiting Andrea Pellegrino after a big move, which converts to a Roberto Carballes Baena buy at 36¢, though it may partly be profit-taking.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $117K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with the same 80% hit rate.
Selling Andrea at 64¢ after entering near 34¢ effectively points to Roberto at 36¢.

$1,846 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with a 73% win rate effectively bought Roberto Carballes Baena at 39¢ before the market moved to 58¢.

This bettor has won 73% of 518 resolved bets and is up $293k lifetime.
They effectively bought Roberto Carballes Baena at 39¢, well below the current 58¢ market price.
This wallet has traded across 95 sports events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.

$1,235 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Pellegrino and briefly moved the market, but the price has since reversed sharply against the entry.

This bettor has a huge track record: 34,118 resolved trades, 69% winners, and $321k lifetime profit.
They bought Pellegrino at 63¢ and the trade coincided with a 25-point move upward.
The market has since fallen to 42¢, so the copy case is mainly the bettor’s long-term edge rather than current momentum.

$2,215 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable whale riding tennis steam

Moderately interesting tennis momentum trade from a very profitable high-volume wallet, backed by a 29x volume spike and 19-point move toward Roberto Carballes Baena.

This high-volume bettor is up $2.0M lifetime across nearly 70k resolved bets.
Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a 29x volume spike and a 19-point price move upward.
The bettor bought at 88¢, showing confidence even after the market moved sharply.

$4,809 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 53%

92% win-rate tennis sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $102k profit bought Roberto Carballes Baena despite the market moving against the entry afterward.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $102k lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 41 events and 44 markets with the same 92% hit rate.
They bought Roberto Carballes Baena at 69¢, implying strong confidence despite current odds around 64¢.

$1,183 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 86%

Serial bettor volume spike

A serial cross-market sports bettor made a concentrated $18.6k buy on Andrea Pellegrino amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.

This serial sports bettor has traded 27 events and just put $18.6k on one side of this match.
The buy was large for the market, exceeding the earlier quiet 24h volume several times over.
Market activity spiked sharply before the match, and Andrea Pellegrino’s price is already up 9 points on the day.

$18,646 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 39845261, $2,795 (59% win rate)
0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 39845261, $2,647 (74% win rate)
0x815f...1eef — Outcome 39845261, $1,715 (86% win rate)
0x51e1...5ec9 — Outcome 39845261, $1,100 (44% win rate)
0xa664...f849 — Outcome 39845261, $1,000 (85% win rate)
0x6b97...8d30 — Outcome 39845261, $976 (81% win rate)
0x74bd...d371 — Outcome 39845261, $905 (98% win rate)
0x6318...46b1 — Outcome 39845261, $344
0x19b1...83a0 — Outcome 39845261, $306 (100% win rate)
0x710c...78ea — Outcome 39845261, $286 (88% win rate)

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Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena

ResolvedPerugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena$44,357 tracked7 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Roberto Carballes Baena in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.