Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Astralis and Alliance in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 1 against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 1 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,435.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Million-dollar profitable serial trader

A highly profitable, experienced cross-market trader bought Alliance, with a rapid price move adding context despite the modest position size.

  • This bettor is up over $1.04M across 2,706 resolved bets, with a 64% win rate.
  • They put about $1,039 on Alliance in a market with roughly $5,480 in 24-hour volume.
  • The market saw an 18.5% Alliance price drop in about five minutes, making the timing notable.

$1,489 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 63%

2,866-position bettor backs Astralis

A highly profitable bettor with 2,866 resolved positions and a reported 93% win rate bought Astralis at 48¢, below the current 55¢ price.

  • This bettor has a reported 93% win rate across 2,866 resolved positions and is up $2.74M.
  • They bought Astralis at 48¢; the current market price is 55¢.
  • The $1,067 position is meaningful in a market with about $5,480 in 24-hour volume.

$1,067 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 93%

Million-dollar profitable serial trader

A highly profitable, experienced cross-market trader bought Alliance, with a rapid price move adding context despite the modest position size.

  • This bettor is up over $1.04M across 2,706 resolved bets, with a 64% win rate.
  • They put about $1,039 on Alliance in a market with roughly $5,480 in 24-hour volume.
  • The market saw an 18.5% Alliance price drop in about five minutes, making the timing notable.

$1,039 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 63%

Three-wallet Alliance surge

A three-wallet Alliance buying cluster and 90x volume spike accompany a large position from a prolific, lifetime-profitable trader.

  • Three wallets bought Alliance together, totaling $25,614 in the same direction.
  • The market saw a 90x volume spike, with the wallet buying about $5,884 across three trades at an average near 44¢.
  • This trader has 36,083 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and is up $8.6M lifetime.

$5,884 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial bettor adding Astralis

A profitable, active cross-market bettor with a 70% record is adding to an Astralis position despite the market price falling.

  • This bettor has won 76 of 108 resolved trades and is up $59,061 overall.
  • They added about $1,955 to an existing Astralis position at 58¢, while the market now prices Astralis at 50¢.
  • The bettor has traded across 33 events, though their record is only modestly above the 68¢ average price of winning bets.

$1,955 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 73%

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

Cloud9 wins a five-game series

Covers 3 related markets

KOI wins series after 1-1 start

Covers 4 related markets

Cloud9 beats LYON in series

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE stages impossible comeback

Covers 3 related markets

MOUZ rallies from Map 1 loss

Covers 3 related markets

MOUZ wins Map 1, Spirit series

Covers 3 related markets

Hanjin Brion sweeps LGD

Covers 4 related markets

NAVI wins the series and Map 2

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs$11,435 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Astralis
0¢
Alliance
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Astralis and Alliance in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 1 against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 1 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-01 16:33 UTC

$1,489 on Alliance at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-01 15:47 UTC

$1,067 on Astralis at 48¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-01 15:47 UTC

$1,039 on Alliance at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-01 15:36 UTC

$5,884 on Alliance at 44¢

44¢→100¢↑56¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-01 15:39 UTC

$1,955 on Astralis at 58¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15…Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in …
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
Cloud9 wins a five-game series
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - G…LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO…Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cl…
KOI wins series after 1-1 start
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Mo…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …
Cloud9 beats LYON in series
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LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 W…LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LC…LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 W…
Team WE stages impossible comeback
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LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (…LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION -…LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION -…
MOUZ rallies from Map 1 loss
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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…
MOUZ wins Map 1, Spirit series
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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit…Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit…Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOU…
Hanjin Brion sweeps LGD
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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gamin…LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gamin…LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gamin…
NAVI wins the series and Map 2
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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natu…Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nat…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natu…