Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
16 signals across 4 markets · $57,784 tracked · resolves Oct 1, 2026
Astralis and Alliance meet in a best-of-three upper-bracket quarterfinal at the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, scheduled for October 1, 2026. The event market covers either team winning; the latest PolySpotter alert shows 96% of winner backing on Alliance.
Markets (4)
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs5 signals · $23,778 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner5 signals · $21,103 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner5 signals · $11,435 tracked
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)1 signal · $1,468 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial trader backing Astralis
A highly profitable trader with a substantial track record bought Astralis while also positioning across three markets in the same event, alongside a notable price rise.
$2,716Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 6.6 - Three-wallet Alliance surge
A three-wallet Alliance buying cluster and 90x volume spike accompany a large position from a prolific, lifetime-profitable trader.
$5,884Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 6.4 - Profitable serial trader adds Astralis
A profitable, high-volume bettor with a 71% win rate added to an Astralis position as the market moved sharply toward Astralis.
$1,586Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 5.6 - 96% winner backing Alliance
A highly profitable bettor with 183 wins in 190 resolved positions is buying Alliance at 38¢, supported by extensive cross-market activity.
$2,194Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.6 - 2,866-position bettor backs Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with 2,866 resolved positions and a reported 93% win rate bought Astralis at 48¢, below the current 55¢ price.
$1,067Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial bettor adds to Astralis
A profitable bettor with an 80% record is adding to an Astralis position amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$1,042Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.0 - Million-dollar profitable serial trader
A highly profitable, experienced cross-market trader bought Alliance, with a rapid price move adding context despite the modest position size.
$1,489Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.9 - Proven 82% winner adding to Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with 319 resolved trades is adding $5,900 to Astralis, supported by a broad record of cross-market activity.
$5,900Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.7 - Proven 82% winner adding to Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with 319 resolved trades is adding $5,900 to Astralis, supported by a broad record of cross-market activity.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.7 - Proven 80% winner adding to Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with an 80% win rate across 616 resolved trades is adding $4,000 to an existing Astralis position.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xddc38b…029c$16,011 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x89eb83…cff9$10,900 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$8,601 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 69% wins
- 0xa2c908…2c23$5,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x3da89a…80c3$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x4ebc27…a33d$2,528 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xe40ecf…9770$2,194 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xd88ad5…a7e4$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0xfc243d…27f1$1,955 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x495d66…68d8$1,586 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Astralis vs Alliance?
The event page tracks the winner market for this best-of-three match. Check the live market for current prices, which can change as traders update their positions.
What is the smart money betting on?
The latest PolySpotter alert shows 96% of winner backing on Alliance. The event has one tracked smart-money signal, totaling $2,194.
When is Astralis vs Alliance scheduled, and when does the market resolve?
The match is scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, with resolution expected by 9:00 PM UTC that day. The market resolves based on the match winner.
What happens if the match is canceled or ends in a tie?
According to the market rules, a match that is not played or ends in a tie resolves 50-50.