Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Astralis and Alliance in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 1 against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 1 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,435.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Million-dollar profitable serial trader
A highly profitable, experienced cross-market trader bought Alliance, with a rapid price move adding context despite the modest position size.
- This bettor is up over $1.04M across 2,706 resolved bets, with a 64% win rate.
- They put about $1,039 on Alliance in a market with roughly $5,480 in 24-hour volume.
- The market saw an 18.5% Alliance price drop in about five minutes, making the timing notable.
$1,489 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 63%
2,866-position bettor backs Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with 2,866 resolved positions and a reported 93% win rate bought Astralis at 48¢, below the current 55¢ price.
- This bettor has a reported 93% win rate across 2,866 resolved positions and is up $2.74M.
- They bought Astralis at 48¢; the current market price is 55¢.
- The $1,067 position is meaningful in a market with about $5,480 in 24-hour volume.
$1,067 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 93%
Million-dollar profitable serial trader
A highly profitable, experienced cross-market trader bought Alliance, with a rapid price move adding context despite the modest position size.
- This bettor is up over $1.04M across 2,706 resolved bets, with a 64% win rate.
- They put about $1,039 on Alliance in a market with roughly $5,480 in 24-hour volume.
- The market saw an 18.5% Alliance price drop in about five minutes, making the timing notable.
$1,039 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 63%
Three-wallet Alliance surge
A three-wallet Alliance buying cluster and 90x volume spike accompany a large position from a prolific, lifetime-profitable trader.
- Three wallets bought Alliance together, totaling $25,614 in the same direction.
- The market saw a 90x volume spike, with the wallet buying about $5,884 across three trades at an average near 44¢.
- This trader has 36,083 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and is up $8.6M lifetime.
$5,884 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial bettor adding Astralis
A profitable, active cross-market bettor with a 70% record is adding to an Astralis position despite the market price falling.
- This bettor has won 76 of 108 resolved trades and is up $59,061 overall.
- They added about $1,955 to an existing Astralis position at 58¢, while the market now prices Astralis at 50¢.
- The bettor has traded across 33 events, though their record is only modestly above the 68¢ average price of winning bets.
$1,955 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 73%
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