Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $61,090.

Categories: Soccer, Fifa Friendly, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable sports cluster on NO

Three high-volume, profitable sports wallets clustered on Poland No, including a 77% winner up $1.3M, and the trade coincided with a 26-point move toward No.

A bettor who wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $1.3M joined the No side.
Three wallets put $5.6K on the same outcome, with No jumping from around 52¢ to 80¢.
The flow includes serial sports traders with millions in lifetime profit, but the market has already moved sharply.

$5,552 on No

Profitable bettor leads Yes cluster

Surface because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% record and +$1.3M lifetime P&L is leading a $15k effective Yes cluster despite some mixed market flow.

A bettor who wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime bought $8.4k of Yes.
Four wallets put $15k in effective Yes exposure around 50¢, suggesting coordinated conviction.
Market activity spiked 35.7x above normal, so this move is part of a larger pre-game surge.

$15,028 on Yes

77% winner joins No flow

Sharp 77% lifetime winner is cutting Yes exposure as six wallets push the same No side amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up about $1.3M lifetime.
Six wallets are all backing the same No side, totaling about $12.2K.
Market volume is running 35.7x above its normal pace, suggesting fresh attention before the game.

$1,604 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial trader with one-sided flow

High composite alert driven by a profitable high-volume serial trader joining six-wallet one-sided flow on No amid a major volume spike and 31-point price move.

This bettor is up $3.2M lifetime across more than $234M traded.
Six wallets are all buying No, totaling $12.2K in the same direction.
Market activity spiked 35.7x and No moved up 31 points, showing strong momentum.

$1,049 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable sharp buying No

Sharp profitable sports trader sold Poland Yes, equivalent to buying No, alongside one-sided No flow from 5 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $1.3M lifetime.
They have traded across 238 events with a 77% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Five wallets are all on the No side, with $9.4K in same-direction flow.

$1,628 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable bettor leads cluster

Surface: a highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% record and +$1.3M lifetime P&L led a $12.8k same-direction Poland Yes cluster amid a major volume spike.

A bettor who wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime bought $8.4k of Yes.
Three wallets put $12.8k behind the same Poland Yes view, including a No sell that also points to Yes.
Volume is running 33x above normal before the match, suggesting this market is drawing unusually focused money.

$12,760 on Yes

96% serial sports sharp

A proven 96% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought No alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 1,812 markets and is up $20.6K lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $9.4K in No exposure.
They entered No at 48¢, and the market has already moved to about 55¢.

$1,266 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable sports sharp with cluster

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought No alongside one-sided cluster flow and a 33.5x volume spike, with the price already moving from 50¢ to 55¢.

This bettor has a huge track record: 39,382 resolved bets and about $3.18M in lifetime profit.
Five wallets are all buying No, totaling $9.4K on the same side.
Volume spiked 33.5x and the entry has already moved from 50¢ to 55¢.

$1,143 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%

One-sided sharp No flow

Four wallets are all buying Poland No during a major pre-event volume spike, including large serial sports traders with strong long-run records.

Four wallets bought the same side, putting $6.5K on Poland not winning.
One serial trader in the group has handled 674 markets with a 96% resolved-bet record.
The market saw a 37.5x volume spike, and two buyers entered below the current 55¢ No price.

$6,530 on No

Profitable serial sports sharp

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate and $1.3M lifetime profit bought $8.4k of Poland Yes amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 237 events with $1.78M in flagged activity.
Bought $8.4k of Poland Yes during a 37.5x pre-event volume spike.

$8,407 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0x1af3...b3b4 — Outcome 71880704, $9,758 (79% win rate)
0x4607...d542 — Outcome 71880704, $1,899 (97% win rate)
0xfc38...61be — Outcome 71880704, $1,830
0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 71880704, $1,742 (71% win rate)
0xb0a6...8529 — Outcome 71880704, $1,288
0x5572...984e — Outcome 71880704, $1,190
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 57612119, $836
0x8c46...ae13 — Outcome 71880704, $729 (61% win rate)
0x74fb...96cf — Outcome 71880704, $637
0x851c...dafd — Outcome 71880704, $589

Related Theses

Choo wins Daegu mayor race

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?

ResolvedPoland vs. Ukraine$61,090 tracked13 signalsSoccerFifa FriendlySportsGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 31, 2026 If Poland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.