Part of: Spain vs. Belgium
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,391,768.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
97% winner adding with cluster
Sharp 97% winner is adding $52k to an existing No position while a 7-wallet one-sided cluster pushes the same side before match resolution.
- This bettor has won 32 of 33 resolved bets and is up $145k lifetime.
- They added $52k to an existing No position already sized at $140k.
- Seven wallets are all buying No, totaling $109k on the same side.
$1,045 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
71% winner in No push
Strong sharp-wallet and one-sided-flow signal: a profitable 71% winner added $66.9k to an existing No position amid 11-wallet coordinated buying and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up about $4.9M lifetime.
- They added $66.9k to an existing No position, bringing their invested No exposure to over $280k.
- 11 wallets bought the same side for $165.8k during a 32.5x volume spike.
$5,108 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
97% winner adding with cluster
Sharp 97% winner is adding $52k to an existing No position while a 7-wallet one-sided cluster pushes the same side before match resolution.
- This bettor has won 32 of 33 resolved bets and is up $145k lifetime.
- They added $52k to an existing No position already sized at $140k.
- Seven wallets are all buying No, totaling $109k on the same side.
$3,939 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Whale scaling into No
A large profitable wallet is adding $223k to an existing No position, alongside 9-wallet one-sided No flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This wallet is adding conviction, buying $223k more No on top of an existing $612k position.
- Nine wallets are all buying No, totaling $288k in same-direction flow.
- The wallet is up $8.1M on resolved markets, though its record is still only 5 wins.
$223,517 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp sports whale adding Yes
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 80% record and $2.6M profit is adding a large Yes position at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $2.6M lifetime.
- They have traded 609 markets across 534 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- This is an add-on to an existing Yes position, bringing strong conviction at a 60¢ entry.
$40,461 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
24-wallet cluster with sharp whale
Strong one-sided Spain Yes flow from 24 wallets, including a large add by a 14-0 profitable bettor, makes this worth surfacing despite the market being very liquid.
- A bettor with a 14-0 resolved record and $477K profit added another $79K to Spain Yes.
- 24 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $319K of one-way Yes flow.
- This is an add to an existing position, bringing this wallet’s Spain Yes exposure above $212K at about 60¢.
$79,416 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%
71% winner in No push
Strong sharp-wallet and one-sided-flow signal: a profitable 71% winner added $66.9k to an existing No position amid 11-wallet coordinated buying and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up about $4.9M lifetime.
- They added $66.9k to an existing No position, bringing their invested No exposure to over $280k.
- 11 wallets bought the same side for $165.8k during a 32.5x volume spike.
$2,429 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
97% winner adding with cluster
Sharp 97% winner is adding $52k to an existing No position while a 7-wallet one-sided cluster pushes the same side before match resolution.
- This bettor has won 32 of 33 resolved bets and is up $145k lifetime.
- They added $52k to an existing No position already sized at $140k.
- Seven wallets are all buying No, totaling $109k on the same side.
$52,325 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
71% winner in No push
Strong sharp-wallet and one-sided-flow signal: a profitable 71% winner added $66.9k to an existing No position amid 11-wallet coordinated buying and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up about $4.9M lifetime.
- They added $66.9k to an existing No position, bringing their invested No exposure to over $280k.
- 11 wallets bought the same side for $165.8k during a 32.5x volume spike.
$66,904 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
4-wallet funded cluster
A 4-wallet funded cluster is buying Spain Yes, but the signal is moderated by the market’s deep liquidity and the lead wallet’s weak historical win rate.
- Four wallets funded by the same source have put $10.7K behind the same market direction.
- The shared-funder pattern has appeared in prior runs, suggesting repeat coordinated positioning.
- Entry at 61¢ implies they see Spain as meaningfully more likely than current market odds.
$1,202 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 42%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 87004704, $3,448,405
- 0xd1c5...cbd0 — Outcome 87004704, $974,687 (95% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 87004704, $845,286 (90% win rate)
- 0x9ee8...89de — Outcome 87004704, $431,759 (74% win rate)
- 0x4d4f...e5f3 — Outcome 87004704, $242,540 (80% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 87004704, $200,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 87004704, $83,939 (99% win rate)
- 0xb376...a463 — Outcome 87004704, $70,640 (79% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Outcome 87004704, $53,343 (53% win rate)
- 0x86d2...731d — Outcome 87004704, $51,149 (94% win rate)
Related Theses
Germany wins by six plus
Covers 3 related markets
Spain, France or Germany wins
Covers 3 related markets
Spain wins comfortably
Covers 3 related markets
Brazil wins by four plus
Covers 3 related markets
Spain wins by multiple goals
Covers 1 related market
Auger-Aliassime beats Altmaier
Covers 1 related market
Padres cover against Dodgers
Covers 1 related market
PSG wins 2026 Champions League
Covers 1 related market
Safiullin-Fonseca goes long
Covers 1 related market
