Part of: Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,284.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor rides breakout

Sharp profitable wallet bought into a major Yes breakout after the market moved far beyond its prior 18-26¢ range.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $37k lifetime.
Yes has surged from a prior 18-26¢ range to about 76¢, backed by heavy 24h volume.
Their $3,000 buy at 75¢ suggests they still see value after the move.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

84% winner buying momentum

Proven profitable wallet with an 84% win rate bought Yes at 26¢ on a market already moving sharply upward.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $10.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 26¢ while the market has jumped 19 points in the last day.
Entry at 26¢ implies a potential ~3.8x payout if this range hits.

$1,130 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

9-wallet funded cluster

A known 9-wallet funded cluster is backing No on a narrow Elon tweet-count range, with the active wallet showing long-run positive P&L across nearly 2,000 resolved trades.

Nine wallets tied to the same funder have been active in this pattern, suggesting coordinated conviction.
The bettor has a long history: 1,979 resolved trades and about $39.9K in lifetime profit.
They bought No at 83¢ as the market moved that way, with Yes down 8.5 points over the past day.

$2,154 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%