Part of: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Denis Shapovalov in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,529.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader adds to Alcaraz

A highly experienced, profitable bettor added $8,000 to Alcaraz as market volume spiked, though the current odds are below their entry price.

This bettor has an 83% win rate across 1,264 resolved bets and is up $396,279 lifetime.
They added $8,000 to an existing Alcaraz position during a 23.9× volume spike.
The entry was 79¢, above the market’s current 64% odds, so the price has moved against the trade.

$8,000 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 84%

Serial trader adding to Alcaraz

A serial cross-market trader added $1,400 to an existing Alcaraz position as the market moved sharply upward, though their long-run record shows little profit relative to volume wagered.

This bettor has traded across 75 events and is adding to an existing Alcaraz position.
The $1,400 buy coincided with an 18-point rise in Alcaraz's price.
They have won 75% of 453 resolved bets, but are up only $1,224 on $529,219 invested.

$1,400 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate across 872 resolved bets bought Alcaraz at 69¢, alongside an 18-point price move and a serial cross-market signal.

This bettor has won 85% of 872 resolved bets and is up $63,517 lifetime.
They bought Alcaraz at 69¢, and the market registered an 18-point price rise.
The wallet has traded across 60 events, suggesting a repeated cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$1,173 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced, profitable bettor with an 85% win rate made a $5,000 Alcaraz bet amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 85% of 1,209 resolved bets and is up nearly $799,000.
They placed a $5,000 bet on Alcaraz as market volume surged to 36 times its historical average.
The bet was entered at 90¢, close to the current 88% market odds.

$5,000 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced, profitable bettor with an 85% win rate made a $5,000 Alcaraz bet amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 85% of 1,209 resolved bets and is up nearly $799,000.
They placed a $5,000 bet on Alcaraz as market volume surged to 36 times its historical average.
The bet was entered at 90¢, close to the current 88% market odds.

$5,000 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial trader backs Alcaraz

A highly profitable, heavily experienced trader placed a $5,482 bet on Alcaraz, nearly matching the market’s entire 24-hour volume.

This bettor has won 64% of more than 68,000 resolved trades and is up over $52 million.
The $5,482 Alcaraz bet represents about 95% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
The trader entered at 87¢, with the market currently around 86–87¢.

$13,474 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial trader backs Alcaraz

A highly profitable, heavily experienced trader placed a $5,482 bet on Alcaraz, nearly matching the market’s entire 24-hour volume.

This bettor has won 64% of more than 68,000 resolved trades and is up over $52 million.
The $5,482 Alcaraz bet represents about 95% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
The trader entered at 87¢, with the market currently around 86–87¢.

$5,482 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 64%