Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 12?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,110.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
86% serial crypto trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% resolved win rate is buying No at 90% on a BTC noon-price market, supported by 26 prior event patterns.
- This bettor has won 86% of 28 resolved bets and is up $13.8K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events, with $95K in similar positioning tracked.
- Buying No at 90¢ matches the market’s recent move, with Yes down 11.5% over the past day.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
High-win serial crypto trader
Serial cross-market trader with a 78% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes on BTC >$82K, though their lifetime P&L is negative and average odds are high.
- This bettor has won 78% of 672 resolved markets and trades across many related crypto events.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 25¢ after BTC odds fell 17.5 points over the past day.
- The track record is mixed: high hit rate, but down $28.5K lifetime on $405.6K invested.
$1,110 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xafe6...8192 — Outcome 17770279, $10,836 (85% win rate)
- 0x5bbd...dadd — Outcome 17770279, $4,160
- 0xb758...dd73 — Outcome 17770279, $1,625 (42% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Outcome 17770279, $1,491 (59% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2a00 — Outcome 17770279, $1,267
- 0x66d7...5b7b — Outcome 17770279, $1,165 (88% win rate)
- 0x7cf4...f240 — Outcome 17770279, $1,000
- 0xf9de...b976 — Outcome 17770279, $1,000
- 0x22f2...7c3d — Outcome 17770279, $930
- 0x3885...ca77 — Outcome 17770279, $603 (55% win rate)
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80K May 11
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin settles between $80k-$82k
Covers 2 related markets
Bitcoin tops $82,000 May 12
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin tops $80K by May
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin stays below $84K
Covers 1 related market
