Bitcoin above ___ on May 12?
10 signals across 2 markets · $20,936 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will close above $80,000 at noon ET on May 12, based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle. PolySpotter is monitoring smart money activity on the Yes/No outcome, including a recent signal showing an 85% winner buying Yes.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 86% serial crypto trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% resolved win rate is buying No at 90% on a BTC noon-price market, supported by 26 prior event patterns.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 7.0 - 86% crypto cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% resolved win rate is buying Yes on a BTC level market after a strong 1-day move.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 7.0 - 85% winner buying Yes
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution bettor with strong lifetime profit bought No on a BTC cutoff market about 58 minutes before resolution, despite the market heavily favoring Yes.
$1,064Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.3 - 85% win-rate crypto trader
Sharp serial cross-market BTC trader with an 85% resolved win rate is buying Yes with meaningful size despite only modest low-activity signal.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0 - 86% serial cross-market winner
Serial cross-market Bitcoin bettor has an 86% resolved win rate and positive P&L, making this Yes buy worth surfacing despite only one trade signal.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0 - High-win serial crypto trader
Serial cross-market trader with a 78% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes on BTC >$82K, though their lifetime P&L is negative and average odds are high.
$1,110Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial crypto trader
Serial cross-market crypto trader with a large profitable history bought Yes at 90%, despite only a moderate standalone signal.
$2,434Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0 - 85% winner buying momentum
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 85% resolved win rate with positive P&L and is buying Yes despite the market already moving up 18 points today.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 2.0 - 92% win-rate BTC bettor
Sharp BTC bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes despite already-high odds.
$3,828Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8be404…b795$11,000 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 91% wins
- 0x69672d…84bf$3,828 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x0fe40e…01b7$2,434 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x87ee47…597f$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x6469fc…b890$1,110 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x70793c…da28$1,064 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Bitcoin is above $80,000 on May 12?
The live odds come from the Polymarket market for whether BTC closes above $80,000 at noon ET on May 12. PolySpotter tracks that market alongside smart money signals so you can see whether experienced traders are leaning Yes or No.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,000 in smart money activity across this event. The latest alert showed an 85% winner buying Yes, suggesting a successful trader was positioning for Bitcoin to be above $80,000.
How does this Bitcoin above $80,000 market resolve?
The market resolves Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 PM ET on May 12 has a final close price higher than $80,000. If the close is $80,000 or lower, it resolves No.
Is this event only about one Bitcoin price level?
Yes. This event currently has one child market: whether Bitcoin will be above $80,000 on May 12. The hub page summarizes the odds, trading activity, and smart money signals for that outcome.
Where can I track Bitcoin May 12 Polymarket odds?
You can track the Bitcoin above $80,000 May 12 prediction market on PolySpotter, including Polymarket odds, smart money alerts, and recent trader positioning.