Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This Polymarket asks whether Genius’s official token will have a fully diluted valuation above $300 million exactly one day after launch. It resolves to Yes if the token is publicly tradable and its total supply multiplied by token price exceeds $300M at that checkpoint; otherwise it resolves to No. The market is currently tracked by PolySpotter with $1,012 in smart money activity and is set to resolve by January 1, 2028.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,012.

Categories: Crypto, genius, fdv, Pre-Market

Notable Trades

New wallet chasing breakout

A 6-day-old wallet made a fresh $1k bet aligned with a 32-point breakout move in this market, suggesting conviction behind a sharp repricing rather than routine activity.

  • A 6-day-old wallet opened a fresh $1k position as this market repriced hard.
  • The trade lines up with a 32-point move beyond the market’s prior range, so it is following strong momentum.
  • Selling No at 40¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 60¢, close to the current 62¢ market price.

$1,012 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x0826...0b32 — Outcome 24564251, $9,435 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x7a61...af24 — Outcome 24564251, $6,990
  3. 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 24564251, $6,561
  4. 0x0140...9510 — Outcome 24564251, $5,055 (40% win rate)
  5. 0xefb3...02bf — Outcome 24564251, $5,000 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x05fd...50c9 — Outcome 24564251, $3,000 (48% win rate)
  7. 0x8da2...ab27 — Outcome 24564251, $2,939
  8. 0x22e6...92ca — Outcome 24564251, $2,908
  9. 0x4fc1...8360 — Outcome 24564251, $2,000
  10. 0xda57...e628 — Outcome 24564251, $1,972

Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

621d$1,012 tracked1 signalCryptogeniusfdvPre-Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Genius's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Genius will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Genius (https://x.com/GeniusTerminal) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Notable Trades

Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

6d ago

$1,012 on Yes at 60¢