Genius FDV above ___ one day after launch?
6 signals across 3 markets · $21,688 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2028
This Polymarket event tracks whether Genius’s official token reaches key fully diluted valuation levels one day after launch. Traders are pricing outcomes above $100M, $200M, and $300M FDV, while PolySpotter highlights smart-money activity such as breakout buyers, new whales, and a 91% win-rate bettor entering related positions.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet breakout buyers
Three wallets piled into Yes as this market broke far above its prior range, including a brand-new wallet sizing aggressively into a fast move.
$6,311Score: 16.6 - New whale pressing thesis
A 4-hour-old wallet has already made multiple sizable bets across this event, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine flow.
$1,970Score: 6.0 - New whale early on Yes
A brand-new wallet deployed $6.7k across two buys on the same crypto launch market at 29-43¢, and the price has already moved up to 49%, suggesting early conviction from a fresh bettor.
$6,655Score: 5.5 - 91% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 91% win rate across 75 resolved markets is buying Yes here, making this small trade worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
$1,058Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0 - New wallet chasing breakout
A 6-day-old wallet made a fresh $1k bet aligned with a 32-point breakout move in this market, suggesting conviction behind a sharp repricing rather than routine activity.
$1,012Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.5 - 81% win-rate bettor
A profitable wallet with an 81% win rate put nearly $4.7k into Yes around 74-75¢ on a moderately active market, making this a modest but followable sharp-bettor signal.
$4,681Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9c6180…8984$6,655 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xeb6789…d696$4,681 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x4318fd…b7ac$1,970 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x66ad42…cc4e$1,058 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x662dc9…7582$1,012 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Genius FDV prediction market odds?
The event shows market-implied odds for Genius’s token FDV being above $100M, $200M, and $300M one day after launch. Each child market reflects a different valuation threshold, so the odds show how traders are pricing the token’s post-launch upside.
What is smart money doing in the Genius FDV markets?
PolySpotter has tracked $21,688 in smart-money activity across this event, including 3-wallet breakout buyers, a new whale pressing a thesis, a new whale early on Yes, and a 91% win-rate bettor participating in the markets.
How will the Genius FDV markets resolve?
Each market resolves Yes if the official Genius token’s fully diluted valuation is above the specified threshold one day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the token must be publicly and actively tradable.
Which Genius FDV levels are being traded on Polymarket?
This event includes markets for Genius FDV above $100M, above $200M, and above $300M one day after launch. Together, they give a tiered view of how traders expect the token to perform after it becomes tradable.
When do the Genius FDV markets resolve?
The markets are designed to resolve based on Genius’s FDV one day after its official token launch, with the event listed to resolve by January 1, 2028 if needed.