Genius FDV above ___ one day after launch?
6 signals across 3 markets · $21,688 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Genius's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Genius will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Genius (https://x.com/GeniusTerminal) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet breakout buyers
Three wallets piled into Yes as this market broke far above its prior range, including a brand-new wallet sizing aggressively into a fast move.
$6,311Score: 16.6 - New whale pressing thesis
A 4-hour-old wallet has already made multiple sizable bets across this event, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine flow.
$1,970Score: 6.0 - New whale early on Yes
A brand-new wallet deployed $6.7k across two buys on the same crypto launch market at 29-43¢, and the price has already moved up to 49%, suggesting early conviction from a fresh bettor.
$6,655Score: 5.5 - 91% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 91% win rate across 75 resolved markets is buying Yes here, making this small trade worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
$1,058Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.0 - New wallet chasing breakout
A 6-day-old wallet made a fresh $1k bet aligned with a 32-point breakout move in this market, suggesting conviction behind a sharp repricing rather than routine activity.
$1,012Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 3.5 - 81% win-rate bettor
A profitable wallet with an 81% win rate put nearly $4.7k into Yes around 74-75¢ on a moderately active market, making this a modest but followable sharp-bettor signal.
$4,681Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9c6180…8984$6,655 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xeb6789…d696$4,681 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x4318fd…b7ac$1,970 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x66ad42…cc4e$1,058 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x662dc9…7582$1,012 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins