Part of: Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP qualifying match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Gilles Arnaud Bailly, scheduled for May 19, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with settlement expected by May 26, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,349 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from profitable tennis and serial sports traders.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,087.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
Serial sports trader caught move
Serial cross-market sports trader bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 78¢ before the market moved to 94¢, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has traded across 25 events and wins 75% of resolved bets.
- They bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 78¢ before the price jumped to 94¢.
- The entry is no longer attractive above the suggested 88¢ ceiling.
$1,340 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Kjaer at 70¢ before the market moved to 94¢, suggesting they caught a major mispricing, though the copy window has likely passed.
- This bettor is up $2.8M lifetime across more than 32,000 resolved trades.
- They bought Kjaer at 70¢ before the market jumped to 94¢, a major move in their favor.
- Entry at 70¢ was attractive, but current 94¢ odds leave limited room to copy now.
$1,009 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Wallet win rate: 56%
3-wallet tennis steam
Three wallets bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the same direction and helped drive a sharp move from about 38¢ to 72¢, though the wallets do not have elite track records.
- Three wallets all bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, totaling $5.0K in coordinated same-direction flow.
- The price jumped about 25 points after the buying, from the high-30¢ range to 72¢.
- Two wallets entered at 38¢, implying they caught the move early before the market repriced.
$5,023 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Profitable high-volume tennis bettor
A high-volume profitable sports bettor bought Gilles Arnaud Bailly on a relatively quiet tennis market, taking over half of recent volume and already seeing the price move from 47¢ to 51¢.
- This bettor is up $2.8M lifetime across more than 32,000 resolved markets.
- The $2.7K buy was about 54% of recent market volume, showing real conviction in a quieter match market.
- Entry at 47¢ has already moved to 51¢, suggesting the market is following their side.
$2,715 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $27,851 (80% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Gilles Arnaud Bailly, $24,720 (56% win rate)
- 0xe4d3...c2f0 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $15,000 (68% win rate)
- 0xbfd7...f0bf — Gilles Arnaud Bailly, $6,884 (51% win rate)
- 0xaa08...d98a — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $5,710 (69% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Gilles Arnaud Bailly, $5,531 (72% win rate)
- 0x5ba6...0f07 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $5,000 (38% win rate)
- 0xbdc3...c0ea — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $3,000 (75% win rate)
- 0xf41a...ea2b — Gilles Arnaud Bailly, $3,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x5c77...2c45 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $2,663 (48% win rate)
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