Part of: Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP qualifying match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Gilles Arnaud Bailly, scheduled for May 19, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with settlement expected by May 26, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,349 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from profitable tennis and serial sports traders.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,087.

Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sports trader caught move

Serial cross-market sports trader bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 78¢ before the market moved to 94¢, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

  • This bettor has traded across 25 events and wins 75% of resolved bets.
  • They bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 78¢ before the price jumped to 94¢.
  • The entry is no longer attractive above the suggested 88¢ ceiling.

$1,340 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Kjaer at 70¢ before the market moved to 94¢, suggesting they caught a major mispricing, though the copy window has likely passed.

  • This bettor is up $2.8M lifetime across more than 32,000 resolved trades.
  • They bought Kjaer at 70¢ before the market jumped to 94¢, a major move in their favor.
  • Entry at 70¢ was attractive, but current 94¢ odds leave limited room to copy now.

$1,009 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Wallet win rate: 56%

3-wallet tennis steam

Three wallets bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the same direction and helped drive a sharp move from about 38¢ to 72¢, though the wallets do not have elite track records.

  • Three wallets all bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, totaling $5.0K in coordinated same-direction flow.
  • The price jumped about 25 points after the buying, from the high-30¢ range to 72¢.
  • Two wallets entered at 38¢, implying they caught the move early before the market repriced.

$5,023 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Profitable high-volume tennis bettor

A high-volume profitable sports bettor bought Gilles Arnaud Bailly on a relatively quiet tennis market, taking over half of recent volume and already seeing the price move from 47¢ to 51¢.

  • This bettor is up $2.8M lifetime across more than 32,000 resolved markets.
  • The $2.7K buy was about 54% of recent market volume, showing real conviction in a quieter match market.
  • Entry at 47¢ has already moved to 51¢, suggesting the market is following their side.

$2,715 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 53490220, $24,720 (56% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 53490220, $5,531 (72% win rate)
  3. 0xf41a...ea2b Outcome 53490220, $3,000 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x0a26...1851 Outcome 53490220, $2,500 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x39fc...e2f2 Outcome 53490220, $2,018 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x9d8a...5201 Outcome 53490220, $2,000 (32% win rate)
  7. 0x99d7...6435 Outcome 53490220, $1,572 (92% win rate)
  8. 0xd218...b5c9 Outcome 53490220, $1,483 (43% win rate)
  9. 0x3404...3a93 Outcome 53490220, $1,042
  10. 0x6945...729c Outcome 53490220, $894

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Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
102¢
72¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

1d ago

$1,340 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 78¢

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

1d ago

$1,009 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 70¢

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

1d ago

$5,023 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 43¢

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

1d ago

$2,715 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly at 47¢

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