Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $171,707.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market BTC trader
Surfaced because a profitable serial cross-market trader is positioned across 6 related BTC dip markets with $97k total exposure, despite this specific 90¢ buy being small.
- This trader is up about $302k lifetime across more than 2,200 resolved markets.
- They have positioned $97k across 6 related Bitcoin dip markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Yes has jumped 41 points in a day, and this buy at 90¢ follows that strong move.
$1,272 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable BTC cross-market bettor
A profitable high-volume crypto bettor is adding to a broader six-market Bitcoin downside thesis, though the specific entry is already a heavy favorite.
- This wallet has traded 2,243 resolved markets and is up about $302K lifetime.
- The bettor has put nearly $98K across 6 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader downside thesis.
- This market has moved 39 points in a day, and the buy at 89¢ follows that strong momentum.
$1,838 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
97% winner buying BTC dip
Surfacing because a highly proven wallet with 97% wins and positive lifetime P&L is adding a bullish Yes position across related BTC dip markets.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades, with 449 wins and $4,894 in profit.
- They have $8,396 positioned across 2 related BTC dip markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Bought Yes at 89¢ while the market has jumped about 40 points in the past day.
$1,746 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable BTC cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume crypto trader is buying Yes amid a major volume spike and strong price move across related BTC dip markets.
- This bettor is up $288K lifetime and has traded over $40M across resolved markets.
- They are active across 6 related BTC dip markets with about $97K in same-event positioning.
- The market has surged 36 points in a day with a 182x volume spike, supporting the same direction as this buy.
$1,498 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable whale betting BTC downside
A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broader BTC-downside thesis across 7 related markets, adding $8k to Yes after the market moved sharply higher.
- This wallet is up about $794k lifetime and has traded over $35.7M across resolved markets.
- They have put $58k across 7 related Bitcoin dip markets, suggesting a broader downside thesis.
- They flipped from a prior No position to buying Yes at 80¢ after this market rose 32 points in a day.
$8,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%
Profitable cross-market crypto bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a cross-market Bitcoin downside thesis across 7 related markets, with this trade equivalent to buying No at 30¢.
- This wallet is up $816K lifetime and has traded over $35M across resolved markets.
- They have built a $60K thesis across 7 related Bitcoin markets, not just a one-off bet.
- This trade is equivalent to buying No at 30¢, and No has already moved to about 38¢.
$2,802 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%
Profitable cross-market crypto trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is positioning across six related Bitcoin dip markets, though this specific buy is small relative to their history.
- This bettor is up $293k across 2,199 resolved trades.
- They have $96k positioned across 6 related Bitcoin dip markets.
- Entry at 51¢ is a near-even-money bet on a May $75k touch.
$1,146 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is taking the Yes side on a BTC dip market, though the trade size is modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor has 1,469 resolved bets and is up about $200k lifetime.
- They have traded 357 markets across 157 events, suggesting a practiced cross-market strategy.
- Selling No at 49¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 51¢.
$1,923 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable cross-market crypto bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes as part of a broader six-market Bitcoin dip thesis with $96k positioned across related markets.
- This bettor has a long track record: 2,197 resolved bets and $278k in lifetime profit.
- They are positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets with $96k total exposure, suggesting a broader crypto downside thesis.
- Yes odds have risen 15% this week, and this entry is at 50¢.
$1,206 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
New whale fading BTC dip
A 28-day-old repeat large bettor is building a sizable cross-market Bitcoin downside thesis despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 28-day-old wallet has now made 16 flagged large bets totaling about $65k.
- They have $36k positioned across 2 related Bitcoin dip markets, suggesting a broader crypto thesis.
- Buying No at 58¢ means they are betting Bitcoin stays above $75k through May.
$5,799 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xa2cf...f374 — No, $42,749
- 0xa0da...1f80 — No, $36,785 (93% win rate)
- 0xbd89...353b — No, $7,094
- 0x997d...decf — No, $6,684 (60% win rate)
- 0x4a2b...af20 — No, $6,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — No, $6,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xa701...47cd — No, $5,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x0249...5b4b — No, $3,893 (89% win rate)
- 0x20f7...5527 — No, $3,843 (92% win rate)
- 0x730a...51a0 — No, $3,000 (45% win rate)
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