Cross-Market Thesis

No Iran deal this week

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $14,966 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0x09a5d88% win rate

Total

$14,966

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $6,300 @ 84¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
    $2,900 @ 77¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
    $1,500 @ 58¢
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
    $4,266 @ 84¢