Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Alex de Minaur and Jakub Mensik, scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 5, 2026 if delays occur. PolySpotter is tracking $7,166 in smart money and 2 signals, with recent alerts pointing to notable Mensik buying and underdog steam.
31 smart money signals detected, totaling $142,023.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Clustered Mensik momentum
Coordinated Mensik buying plus a major move from 60¢ to 88¢ makes this worth surfacing, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative despite a high raw win rate.
- Three wallets bought Mensik the same way for about $19.9K total.
- This entry at 60¢ has already moved to 88¢, showing strong market confirmation.
- The bettor is highly active across 516 events and wins 85% of resolved bets, though lifetime profit is negative.
$1,211 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 85%
3-wallet one-sided flow
Three wallets bought the same side for nearly $20k, and this profitable high-volume wallet entered before the price jumped from 71¢ to 88¢.
- Three wallets are all buying the same outcome, totaling about $19.9k in one-sided flow.
- This wallet is up $515k lifetime across more than $44M in Polymarket volume.
- The entry at 71¢ has already moved to 88¢, suggesting the market quickly validated the bet.
$5,955 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
A five-wallet Alex de Minaur cluster is worth surfacing because it includes a bettor with an 87% record and multiple profitable high-volume sports traders buying into a sharp price drop.
- A bettor who wins 87% of resolved trades joined this side and is up $55,886 lifetime.
- Five wallets put $10,644 on Alex de Minaur while his odds fell 48 points in a day.
- Several experienced high-volume wallets are buying the underdog around 32¢, implying a contrarian rebound view.
$10,644 on Alex de Minaur
98% winner joins 12-wallet push
Elite 98% winning wallet bought Jakub Mensik amid coordinated one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $126k lifetime.
- 12 wallets bought the same side for $54k, pushing Mensik up 28 percentage points.
- The trader entered at 50¢ before the market moved to 63¢, suggesting the edge may already be getting priced in.
$2,500 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 96%
12-wallet Mensik steam
High-scoring alert driven by 12-wallet one-sided flow toward Jakub Mensik, a profitable serial sports trader, and a major pre-match price move against Alex de Minaur.
- 12 wallets are all backing Jakub Mensik, totaling $54K on the same side.
- This bettor has won 73% of 565 resolved bets and is up $31K lifetime.
- The market saw a 32x volume spike and Alex de Minaur’s price fell 29 points.
$1,179 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable new whale joins cluster
High-conviction Mensik buy from a profitable new wallet, backed by 12-wallet one-sided flow, a 32x volume spike, and a sharp price move.
- This 18-day-old wallet is already up $30k and has won all 6 resolved bets.
- It bought $19.9k of Jakub Mensik around 56¢, and the price has already moved to 63¢.
- 12 wallets bought the same side for $54k as market volume spiked 32x.
$19,888 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial tennis trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor aggressively sold out of Alex de Minaur during a 25-point price drop, effectively taking the Mensik side despite previously holding Alex.
- This bettor has a long track record: 73% wins across 565 resolved trades and +$31K lifetime profit.
- They aggressively exited Alex de Minaur as the price fell from 82¢ to 56¢, effectively backing Mensik at about 31¢.
- The market moved 25 points against Alex, suggesting this was part of a sharp live repricing.
$2,905 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor effectively moved toward Alex de Minaur, though the trade may partly be closing a prior Mensik position rather than a fresh full-size bet.
- This bettor has won 71% of 137 resolved trades and is up $372K lifetime.
- They have traded across 36 sports events with nearly $294K in cross-market volume.
- This SELL of Mensik is equivalent to buying Alex de Minaur around 61¢.
$2,024 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 71%
85% serial sports sharp
A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate bought Jakub Mensik at 32¢ before the market moved to 50¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 907 markets and is up $115k lifetime.
- They bought Jakub Mensik at 32¢ before the price moved to 50¢.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with over $1.2M in prior betting volume.
$1,598 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 85%
286-win sharp bought early
Elite sharp wallet with 286 wins in 287 resolved bets bought Alex de Minaur around 81¢ before the market moved to 94¢.
- This bettor has won 286 of 287 resolved bets and is up $205,893 lifetime.
- They bought Alex de Minaur at 80–81¢ before the price jumped to 94¢.
- This wallet is a serial sports trader across 251 events with a strong documented track record.
$2,470 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x979f...4032 — Outcome 66551756, $62,225 (93% win rate)
- 0x780a...84f0 — Outcome 66551756, $50,885 (85% win rate)
- 0xca3e...f426 — Outcome 66551756, $46,059
- 0x84cb...28ad — Outcome 66551756, $40,531 (99% win rate)
- 0x9265...2cc0 — Outcome 66551756, $40,407 (67% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 66551756, $25,555 (71% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 66551756, $17,980 (68% win rate)
- 0xa080...234f — Outcome 66551756, $14,749 (46% win rate)
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 66551756, $10,281 (91% win rate)
- 0x4698...d7a5 — Outcome 66551756, $9,330 (100% win rate)
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