Part of: Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Sinners and Astralis in the IEM Atlanta Group B lower bracket semifinal, scheduled for May 13 at 2:00 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with final resolution expected by May 14, 2026, unless cancellation or extended delay rules apply. PolySpotter is tracking $2,904 in smart money with 1 signal, including sharp activity backing Astralis.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Sinners and Astralis in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against Sinners. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,823.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
80% winner esports sharp
Sharp-wallet override: this is a proven 80% winner with $373k profit and extensive cross-market history buying Astralis despite a price pullback.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $373k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 338 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- They bought Astralis at 60¢ while the market is now 54¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$2,904 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market bettor with a long profitable history bought Sinners amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 929 resolved bets, 59% winners, and about $45.9K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 269 events with $1.6M in tracked volume.
- Sinners is being bought during a 71.8x pre-event volume spike, with entry at 34¢ implying nearly 3x upside if correct.
$1,020 on Sinners | Wallet win rate: 59%
93% winner backs Astralis
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% historical win rate and strong cross-market record bought $5,000 of Astralis at 65¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $255,731 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 138 events with a 93% hit rate.
- A $5,000 buy at 65¢ shows fresh conviction on Astralis despite an already active market.
$5,000 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 93%
Elite 93% win-rate bettor
Elite esports/cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate and $645k profit bought Astralis at 67%, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $645k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 871 events with over $1.6M invested.
- Buying Astralis at 67¢ shows clear confidence in the favorite at roughly a 1.5x payout.
$2,100 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 93%
77% winner backs favorite
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Astralis at 68% in a modest-liquidity esports market.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $86.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with $1.65M in flagged activity.
- A $1.85K buy at 68¢ is meaningful against about $9.3K total market volume.
$1,852 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 77%
Proven esports sharp
Sharp high-sample bettor with 80% win rate and $166k profit bought Astralis at 67¢ despite only a modest composite score.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 1,536 bets and is up $166K lifetime.
- They bought Astralis at 67¢, slightly below the current 68% market price.
- The wallet has a long profitable history, making the trader’s track record the main signal.
$1,072 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 80%
Coordinated Astralis push
Three wallets bought Astralis in the same short window and the market has already moved sharply from their 60–68¢ entries to 80¢.
- Three wallets bought the same side within four minutes, totaling $3.7K on Astralis.
- The entries at 60–68¢ have already moved to about 80¢, suggesting the flow was ahead of a major price move.
- One wallet wins 81% of resolved bets, though its lifetime P&L is still negative.
$3,664 on Astralis
86% winner backs Astralis
Sharp esports bettor with an 86% win rate and $209k lifetime profit is buying Astralis in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $209k lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market record across 26 events, with the same 86% win rate.
- The $1.1k Astralis buy is meaningful in a market with under $5k of 24h volume.
$1,079 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 86%
95% win-rate esports sharp
Elite sharp wallet with a 95% win rate and $429k lifetime profit bought Astralis in a relatively quiet CS market.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $429,657 lifetime.
- They have traded across 137 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Their $1,132 Astralis buy is sizable in a market with only $4,962 traded in the last 24 hours.
$1,132 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0x47a8...52f9 — Sinners, $43,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xba8c...e77d — Astralis, $31,386 (91% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Astralis, $17,811 (40% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Sinners, $12,041 (89% win rate)
- 0xadfa...324e — Sinners, $12,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — Astralis, $10,463 (58% win rate)
- 0xcd66...664f — Astralis, $10,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Sinners, $8,219 (65% win rate)
- 0x482d...ba5e — Sinners, $8,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x0a63...fc03 — Astralis, $7,848 (80% win rate)
