Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
6 signals across 1 market · $10,518 tracked · resolves May 14, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 between Sinners and Astralis in the IEM Atlanta Group B lower bracket semifinal. Traders are pricing which team wins the match, with PolySpotter tracking $2,211 in smart money activity and recent sharp alerts pointing toward Astralis support.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Three sharp esports bettors
Three highly profitable sharp wallets with 80%–95% win rates are all buying Astralis in the same thin CS2 market.
$3,283Score: 13.1 - 86% winner backs Astralis
Sharp esports bettor with an 86% win rate and $209k lifetime profit is buying Astralis in a relatively quiet market.
$1,079Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.0 - 95% win-rate esports sharp
Elite sharp wallet with a 95% win rate and $429k lifetime profit bought Astralis in a relatively quiet CS market.
$1,132Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.0 - Elite 93% win-rate bettor
Elite esports/cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate and $645k profit bought Astralis at 67%, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest size.
$2,100Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 77% winner backs favorite
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Astralis at 68% in a modest-liquidity esports market.
$1,852Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.0 - Proven esports sharp
Sharp high-sample bettor with 80% win rate and $166k profit bought Astralis at 67¢ despite only a modest composite score.
$1,072Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x988d8d…9899$2,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x4eefda…3fcb$1,852 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0xf7c266…9b8d$1,132 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x1ab674…078e$1,079 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x66b102…340f$1,072 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Sinners vs Astralis prediction market odds?
The event market prices the chance that either Sinners or Astralis wins the best-of-three match. Odds move as Polymarket traders buy and sell positions before and during the event.
What is the smart money doing on Sinners vs Astralis?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,211 in smart money activity across this event. Recent alerts include an 86% winner backing Astralis and a 95% win-rate esports sharp, suggesting notable sharp interest on the Astralis side.
How does this Sinners vs Astralis Polymarket event resolve?
The event resolves to Sinners if Sinners win the BO3, or to Astralis if Astralis win. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, the market may resolve according to Polymarket’s event rules.
When is Sinners vs Astralis scheduled to be played?
The IEM Atlanta Group B lower bracket semifinal was initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00 PM ET, with market resolution expected by May 14, 2026.
Why watch smart money for this Counter-Strike match?
Esports markets can move quickly around roster news, map veto expectations, and live performance. Tracking proven bettors and high win-rate esports traders can help explain why odds shift on Sinners vs Astralis.