Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
21 signals across 4 markets · $94,506 tracked · resolves May 14, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 between Sinners and Astralis in the IEM Atlanta Group B lower bracket semifinal. Traders are pricing which team wins the match, with PolySpotter tracking $2,211 in smart money activity and recent sharp alerts pointing toward Astralis support.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying underdog
A 3-wallet Sinners cluster includes a profitable 76% bettor and a serial cross-market trader, though the market has moved sharply against their entries.
$4,554Score: 12.1 - Profitable cluster buying dip
Three wallets, including a highly profitable sports/esports trader, bought $5.3k of Sinners after a sharp price swing on a liquid Map 1 market.
$5,326Score: 9.6 - Six-wallet Astralis steam
Six high-volume profitable wallets bought Astralis together into a fast price move that immediately ran to 100%.
$14,687Score: 9.4 - 86% winner backs Astralis
Sharp esports bettor with an 86% win rate and $209k lifetime profit is buying Astralis in a relatively quiet market.
$1,079Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.0 - 95% win-rate esports sharp
Elite sharp wallet with a 95% win rate and $429k lifetime profit bought Astralis in a relatively quiet CS market.
$1,132Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.0 - 93% winner backs Astralis
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% historical win rate and strong cross-market record bought $5,000 of Astralis at 65¢.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - Elite 93% win-rate bettor
Elite esports/cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate and $645k profit bought Astralis at 67%, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest size.
$2,100Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports trader with strong lifetime profit bought Sinners at 39¢ during a sharp move, despite the market now pricing Sinners much lower.
$1,186Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.3 - Coordinated Astralis push
Three wallets bought Astralis in the same short window and the market has already moved sharply from their 60–68¢ entries to 80¢.
$3,664Score: 6.1 - 80% winner esports sharp
Sharp-wallet override: this is a proven 80% winner with $373k profit and extensive cross-market history buying Astralis despite a price pullback.
$2,904Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2a2c53…9bc1$31,595 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x690248…b4ca$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$3,150 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x0a6356…fc03$2,904 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x54c23f…23ad$2,349 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x988d8d…9899$2,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x4eefda…3fcb$1,852 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xf3ef6a…ca6b$1,811 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0x880b1f…c98b$1,469 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xd88871…3c9f$1,186 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
FAQs
What are the Sinners vs Astralis prediction market odds?
The event market prices the chance that either Sinners or Astralis wins the best-of-three match. Odds move as Polymarket traders buy and sell positions before and during the event.
What is the smart money doing on Sinners vs Astralis?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,211 in smart money activity across this event. Recent alerts include an 86% winner backing Astralis and a 95% win-rate esports sharp, suggesting notable sharp interest on the Astralis side.
How does this Sinners vs Astralis Polymarket event resolve?
The event resolves to Sinners if Sinners win the BO3, or to Astralis if Astralis win. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, the market may resolve according to Polymarket’s event rules.
When is Sinners vs Astralis scheduled to be played?
The IEM Atlanta Group B lower bracket semifinal was initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00 PM ET, with market resolution expected by May 14, 2026.
Why watch smart money for this Counter-Strike match?
Esports markets can move quickly around roster news, map veto expectations, and live performance. Tracking proven bettors and high win-rate esports traders can help explain why odds shift on Sinners vs Astralis.