Part of: Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
46 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,664,102.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FA Cup
Notable Trades
New wallet caught live move
An 11-day-old repeat large bettor put $5.3k on Yes at 80¢ before the market moved to 88¢, alongside a sharp upward price move.
- An 11-day-old wallet bought $5.3k of Yes at 80¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢.
- The price is up 29 points over the past day, suggesting strong momentum toward Manchester City winning.
- This is a repeat large-bet wallet with 7 positions already, though its resolved track record is still limited.
$5,272 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
9-wallet No fade
High-score alert driven by 9 wallets taking the No side, though this specific wallet appears to be closing a prior Yes position rather than opening a fresh No bet.
- Nine wallets took the same No side for $28.8K in the scan window.
- This brand-new wallet has made 6 positions and $8.0K in flagged bets in under 17 hours.
- The trade is equivalent to buying No at 21¢ after Yes jumped 18.5% today.
$1,556 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Sharp bettor fading Yes spike
A proven 89% winner is exiting a profitable Man City Yes position while broader one-sided flow is buying No, but this looks partly like profit-taking rather than pure fresh conviction.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $22.9K lifetime.
- They sold Yes after entering around 58¢, effectively taking the No side near 21¢ after a big price run-up.
- Nine wallets have recently bet the same No direction for $28.8K total.
$6,874 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp joins 9-wallet No cluster
Sharp profitable wallet is effectively buying No alongside a 9-wallet one-sided cluster despite Manchester City Yes rallying sharply.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $3,775 lifetime.
- 9 wallets have all taken the No side, totaling $28,791 in the same direction.
- Selling Yes at 79¢ is equivalent to buying No at 21¢, fading a big recent City price move.
$1,460 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
93% winner joins Yes flow
Sharp wallet with a 93% historical win rate bought Yes and is aligned with a 4-wallet one-sided flow despite the market moving down afterward.
- This bettor has won 25 of 27 resolved trades and is up $6.1K lifetime.
- Four wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $35.9K on Yes.
- Entry at 44¢ implies they saw meaningful upside, and the market is now cheaper at 36¢.
$1,439 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
93% winner joins Yes flow
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor bought Manchester City Yes alongside strong one-sided flow from 7 wallets and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.66M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 427 events with a 93% hit rate.
- Seven wallets are all buying Yes, with $74K total one-sided flow into this market.
$11,270 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial sharp joins Yes flow
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor flipped toward Yes alongside 7-wallet one-sided flow and a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of nearly 6,000 resolved trades and is up about $9.1M lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all buying Yes, totaling about $74K in the same direction.
- The bettor had previously closed a No position and is now buying Yes at 48¢ as volume spikes 17x.
$7,915 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
New whale joins 7-wallet Yes push
High-conviction one-sided flow: a 6-day-old repeat whale bought $29.5k of Yes alongside 7 wallets totaling $74.4k during a 17x volume spike.
- A 6-day-old wallet put $29.5k on Yes and has now been flagged for $88.7k in large bets.
- 7 wallets are all buying the same side, with $74.4k total flowing into Yes.
- Volume is running 17x above normal, and this trade entered at 49¢ despite recent price weakness.
$29,458 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp funded cluster buying No
A highly profitable 89% win-rate bettor is buying No with linked-wallet and one-sided cluster support despite a very liquid market.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.61M lifetime.
- Three funded wallets are all buying No, totaling about $26.6K in the same direction.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events, with nearly $1.9M in tracked volume.
$22,297 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable cluster buying Yes
Coordinated Yes-side flow is worth surfacing because five wallets are effectively buying Yes, including a very profitable high-volume trader and a serial cross-market bettor.
- Five wallets are effectively backing Yes with $13.5K around 49¢.
- One buyer has made $9.1M lifetime across nearly 6,000 resolved trades.
- This is a contrarian buy after Yes fell 11 points in the past day.
$13,513 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa136...97de — No, $5,051,011 (100% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Yes, $2,064,175 (64% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Yes, $574,664 (65% win rate)
- 0xa710...23c4 — Yes, $500,000 (55% win rate)
- 0xd9c4...6f95 — No, $407,155 (48% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Yes, $351,533 (56% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Yes, $173,544 (65% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Yes, $167,146 (62% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Yes, $160,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Yes, $148,621 (55% win rate)
