Part of: Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,706.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Serial trader scales into Tommy
A serial cross-market bettor added $2,000 to an existing Tommy McMillen position at 79¢ amid a 1,307x volume spike and 18-point price surge, though the wallet's track record does not show a clear edge over its average winning price.
- A serial bettor with 2,322 resolved trades and a 75% win rate added $2,000 to an existing Tommy McMillen position.
- The trade coincided with a 1,307x historical volume spike and an 18-point price increase.
- The wallet already had $7,855 invested in Tommy McMillen, signaling increased conviction rather than a first-time wager.
$2,000 on Tommy McMillen | Wallet win rate: 69%
Proven sharp adds to Tommy McMillen
A proven bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial historical edge added to Tommy McMillen amid an extreme volume spike and sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 81% of 441 resolved trades and has earned nearly $13,000.
- They added to an existing Tommy McMillen position at 79¢ as volume surged 1,307x its historical average.
- The market moved 18 percentage points higher after the trade, though the current 100% price leaves no practical entry now.
$1,237 on Tommy McMillen | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor bought Tommy early
A proven bettor with an 86% win rate bought Tommy McMillen at 66¢ amid an extreme volume spike and sharp upward price move, though they already held the position.
- This bettor wins 86% of trades and has earned $18,498 on $105,816 invested.
- They bought Tommy McMillen at 66¢ before a 1,307x volume spike and 17.9-point price jump.
- The wallet was adding to an existing Tommy position, so the signal is stronger as confirmation than as a fresh entry.
$1,000 on Tommy McMillen | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable bettor scales into Tommy McMillen
A profitable bettor with 79 resolved trades added to a large existing Tommy McMillen position during an extreme volume spike, though the market has since moved to 100%.
- This bettor has won 76% of 79 resolved trades and is up $41,607 lifetime.
- The $1,038 purchase added to an existing $34,985 Tommy McMillen position during a 1,307x volume spike.
- The entry was 76¢, but Tommy McMillen is now priced at 100%, leaving no practical value at current odds.
$1,038 on Tommy McMillen | Wallet win rate: 76%
Four-wallet McMillen conviction cluster
Four wallets committed $21.4K to Tommy McMillen amid a massive volume spike, though the flow adds to existing positions and the market has moved sharply against them.
- Four wallets bought $21,395 of Tommy McMillen, including one profitable bettor with a 72% win rate and another up $122K.
- The trades arrived during a 1,204x historical volume spike and represented more than twice the recent 24-hour volume.
- All four wallets already held Tommy positions, while the price has fallen from their 61–74¢ entries to about 50¢—strong conviction but an adverse mark-to-market result.
$21,395 on Tommy McMillen
Sharp bettor scaling into Rahiki
A proven sports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong historical edge is adding to a concentrated Marwan Rahiki position at 41¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of trades and is up $19,736 lifetime, with entries averaging 66%.
- They added $1,111 to an existing $2,709 Rahiki position, showing increased conviction at 41¢.
- The wallet has traded across 25 events with an 87% win rate, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
$1,111 on Marwan Rahiki | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial trader backs underdog
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated $2,926 underdog bet in a very thin market, though the trade lacks near-resolution or coordinated-flow confirmation.
- This bettor has won 66% of 28,415 resolved trades and is up $7.0 million lifetime.
- The $2,926 position on Marwan Rahiki is nearly 18 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
- Marwan was bought at 40¢ while the market implies a 40% chance, so the entry offers meaningful upside if the bettor’s assessment is correct.
$2,926 on Marwan Rahiki | Wallet win rate: 69%
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