Part of: Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Tommy McMillen" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Marwan Rahiki" if Marwan Rahiki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,706.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Serial trader scales into Tommy

A serial cross-market bettor added $2,000 to an existing Tommy McMillen position at 79¢ amid a 1,307x volume spike and 18-point price surge, though the wallet's track record does not show a clear edge over its average winning price.

A serial bettor with 2,322 resolved trades and a 75% win rate added $2,000 to an existing Tommy McMillen position.
The trade coincided with a 1,307x historical volume spike and an 18-point price increase.
The wallet already had $7,855 invested in Tommy McMillen, signaling increased conviction rather than a first-time wager.

$2,000 on Tommy McMillen | Wallet win rate: 69%

Proven sharp adds to Tommy McMillen

A proven bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial historical edge added to Tommy McMillen amid an extreme volume spike and sharp price move.

This bettor wins 81% of 441 resolved trades and has earned nearly $13,000.
They added to an existing Tommy McMillen position at 79¢ as volume surged 1,307x its historical average.
The market moved 18 percentage points higher after the trade, though the current 100% price leaves no practical entry now.

$1,237 on Tommy McMillen | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor bought Tommy early

A proven bettor with an 86% win rate bought Tommy McMillen at 66¢ amid an extreme volume spike and sharp upward price move, though they already held the position.

This bettor wins 86% of trades and has earned $18,498 on $105,816 invested.
They bought Tommy McMillen at 66¢ before a 1,307x volume spike and 17.9-point price jump.
The wallet was adding to an existing Tommy position, so the signal is stronger as confirmation than as a fresh entry.

$1,000 on Tommy McMillen | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable bettor scales into Tommy McMillen

A profitable bettor with 79 resolved trades added to a large existing Tommy McMillen position during an extreme volume spike, though the market has since moved to 100%.

This bettor has won 76% of 79 resolved trades and is up $41,607 lifetime.
The $1,038 purchase added to an existing $34,985 Tommy McMillen position during a 1,307x volume spike.
The entry was 76¢, but Tommy McMillen is now priced at 100%, leaving no practical value at current odds.

$1,038 on Tommy McMillen | Wallet win rate: 76%

Four-wallet McMillen conviction cluster

Four wallets committed $21.4K to Tommy McMillen amid a massive volume spike, though the flow adds to existing positions and the market has moved sharply against them.

Four wallets bought $21,395 of Tommy McMillen, including one profitable bettor with a 72% win rate and another up $122K.
The trades arrived during a 1,204x historical volume spike and represented more than twice the recent 24-hour volume.
All four wallets already held Tommy positions, while the price has fallen from their 61–74¢ entries to about 50¢—strong conviction but an adverse mark-to-market result.

$21,395 on Tommy McMillen

Sharp bettor scaling into Rahiki

A proven sports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong historical edge is adding to a concentrated Marwan Rahiki position at 41¢.

This bettor wins 87% of trades and is up $19,736 lifetime, with entries averaging 66%.
They added $1,111 to an existing $2,709 Rahiki position, showing increased conviction at 41¢.
The wallet has traded across 25 events with an 87% win rate, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.

$1,111 on Marwan Rahiki | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial trader backs underdog

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated $2,926 underdog bet in a very thin market, though the trade lacks near-resolution or coordinated-flow confirmation.

This bettor has won 66% of 28,415 resolved trades and is up $7.0 million lifetime.
The $2,926 position on Marwan Rahiki is nearly 18 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
Marwan was bought at 40¢ while the market implies a 40% chance, so the entry offers meaningful upside if the bettor’s assessment is correct.

$2,926 on Marwan Rahiki | Wallet win rate: 69%