Part of: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 4 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,781.

Categories: baseball, Sports, Games, MLB

Notable Trades

96% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and exceptional edge is making a fresh $1,000 bet on the Mets at 44%.

This bettor has won 123 of 128 resolved positions and is up $913,444 lifetime.
Their 45¢ average winning entry price makes a 96% win rate an unusually strong edge.
The fresh $1,000 Mets position comes at 44¢, matching the bettor’s proven value-oriented strategy across 104 events.

$1,000 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 91%

93% winner scaling into Mets

A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $26,400 to an existing Mets position at 44%.

This bettor has won 93% of 384 resolved positions and is up $2.66 million.
The $26,400 purchase adds to an existing $60,000 Mets position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
The Mets are priced at 44%, while this trader’s historical average winning entry is 51%, suggesting a potentially favorable price.

$26,400 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 95%

Three-wallet Mets buying cluster

Three wallets deployed $26,280 on the Mets during an extreme volume spike, including a highly profitable serial trader, making this a meaningful directional signal despite one wallet adding to an existing position.

Three wallets bought $26,280 of the Mets around 42–43¢ while the market was only 44% priced for them.
One participant has won 63% of 33,814 resolved trades and earned $32.5 million in reported profit.
The activity was 12,830 times the historical volume baseline, although one wallet was adding to an existing Mets position rather than opening fresh exposure.

$26,280 on New York Mets

99% winner buys Mets underdog

A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate and substantial historical edge is buying the Mets at 42 cents.

This bettor has won 1,616 of 1,628 resolved positions—a 99% win rate—with $16.6 million in reported profit.
The wallet has traded across 699 events and 740 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable trading record rather than a one-off bet.
The Mets are being bought at 42%, while the market currently implies only a 42% chance and offers a tight 41¢–42¢ spread.

$2,100 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 99%

Proven sharp scaling into Cleveland

A highly profitable bettor with 304 resolved trades and a substantial edge is adding $2,000 to an existing Cleveland position.

This bettor wins 76% of 304 resolved trades and is up $71,653 lifetime.
They are adding $2,000 to an existing Cleveland position at 58%, showing continued conviction.
The wallet has traded across 45 events, making this more credible than a one-off sports bet.

$2,002 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 78%

Proven sharp scaling into Cleveland

A highly profitable bettor with 304 resolved trades and a substantial edge is adding $2,000 to an existing Cleveland position.

This bettor wins 76% of 304 resolved trades and is up $71,653 lifetime.
They are adding $2,000 to an existing Cleveland position at 58%, showing continued conviction.
The wallet has traded across 45 events, making this more credible than a one-off sports bet.

$2,000 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 78%

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians$59,781 tracked6 signalsbaseballSportsGamesMLB

New York Mets

100¢

Cleveland Guardians

0¢

New York Mets

100¢

Cleveland Guardians

0¢

NYM

48-66

Final

CLE

57-57

NYM +120CLE -128O/U 7.5Polymarket: 100¢

Venue

Progressive Field, Cleveland

Attendance

24,636

Notable Trades