Part of: Türkiye vs. United States
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,114,615.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
24-wallet No cluster
High-conviction coordinated flow: 24 wallets bought No for $209k, driving a major price move with this wallet adding $57k across the run-up.
- 24 wallets are all buying No, totaling $209k on the same side.
- This wallet added $57k as No climbed from 62¢ to 86¢, showing continued conviction at higher prices.
- No has moved sharply to 88¢ with a major pre-event volume spike behind it.
$48,906 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
24-wallet No cluster
High-conviction coordinated flow: 24 wallets bought No for $209k, driving a major price move with this wallet adding $57k across the run-up.
- 24 wallets are all buying No, totaling $209k on the same side.
- This wallet added $57k as No climbed from 62¢ to 86¢, showing continued conviction at higher prices.
- No has moved sharply to 88¢ with a major pre-event volume spike behind it.
$57,161 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
89% winner joins Yes cluster
A highly profitable 89% winner is buying Yes alongside a 36-wallet one-sided cluster despite the market moving sharply lower.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.45M lifetime.
- 36 wallets are all buying Yes, totaling about $540K in the same direction.
- Entry at 23¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet after Yes fell 31% in a day.
$4,230 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
24-wallet No wave
High-conviction one-sided flow: a repeat new wallet joined a 24-wallet cluster buying No, with the price moving from 77¢ to 88¢.
- 24 wallets have bought the same side, totaling $209K on No.
- This new wallet has been flagged 7 times in 3 days and is already up $511.
- The trade entered at 77¢ and the market has moved to 88¢, showing strong follow-through.
$3,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor with 27-wallet flow
Sharp 89% lifetime winner bought United States Yes alongside a large 27-wallet same-direction cluster, despite the price later moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $123.7K lifetime.
- 27 wallets bought the same side for $226.9K, including 4 linked wallets.
- Entry at 44¢ implies they saw a much bigger chance than the current 32% market price.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
96% winner joins Yes cluster
A highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet flipped from No to Yes, backed by a 27-wallet one-sided Yes cluster, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $100k lifetime.
- 27 wallets bought the same Yes side for $227k, including linked wallets.
- They bought at 50¢ and Yes is now 32¢, so the same side is available much cheaper than their entry.
$1,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
99% winner joins Yes cluster
A highly successful serial cross-market bettor joined a 26-wallet Yes wave that moved the price up sharply before the match.
- This bettor has won 994 of 1,002 resolved bets and is up $17.2K lifetime.
- 26 wallets are all buying Yes, with $116.7K in same-direction flow and some linked funding.
- The market price has already moved from 39¢ to 46¢ after the wave of buying.
$1,336 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable trader joins Yes cluster
High-conviction Yes flow from a profitable serial cross-market trader and a 26-wallet same-direction cluster outweighs the fact this specific trade also closes a prior No position.
- This bettor is up $917k lifetime and has traded 58 events across 66 related markets.
- 26 wallets are all leaning Yes, with $116.7k in same-direction flow and 5 linked funders.
- The trade flips exposure away from No at an effective 51¢ Yes entry, suggesting reduced confidence in the No side.
$9,882 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
89% winner joins Yes cluster
A highly profitable 89% winner is buying Yes alongside a 36-wallet one-sided cluster despite the market moving sharply lower.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.45M lifetime.
- 36 wallets are all buying Yes, totaling about $540K in the same direction.
- Entry at 23¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet after Yes fell 31% in a day.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
56-wallet Yes surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow from 56 wallets totaling $1.18M, including 12 linked wallets, despite the main wallet lacking a proven edge.
- 56 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $1.18M on Yes.
- 12 of those wallets share a funder, suggesting one coordinated actor has major conviction.
- The market saw a 40-59x volume spike, and Yes is now much cheaper than many of the cluster’s earlier buys.
$161,153 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Top Holders
- 0xc67a...f0b6 — Outcome 47236739, $3,030,389 (64% win rate)
- 0xaf72...f7f2 — Outcome 47236739, $1,000,000
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11351859, $899,763
- 0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 47236739, $796,933 (58% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 47236739, $342,287
- 0x3e17...d3d8 — Outcome 47236739, $198,061 (100% win rate)
- 0x8f25...1e13 — Outcome 47236739, $179,394
- 0x35e2...9dcb — Outcome 47236739, $172,193 (80% win rate)
- 0x86f2...1db8 — Outcome 47236739, $135,351 (100% win rate)
- 0x6266...242a — Outcome 47236739, $132,679
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