Part of: Türkiye vs. United States
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026 If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,114,615.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
24-wallet No cluster
High-conviction coordinated flow: 24 wallets bought No for $209k, driving a major price move with this wallet adding $57k across the run-up.
- 24 wallets are all buying No, totaling $209k on the same side.
- This wallet added $57k as No climbed from 62¢ to 86¢, showing continued conviction at higher prices.
- No has moved sharply to 88¢ with a major pre-event volume spike behind it.
$48,906 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
24-wallet No cluster
High-conviction coordinated flow: 24 wallets bought No for $209k, driving a major price move with this wallet adding $57k across the run-up.
- 24 wallets are all buying No, totaling $209k on the same side.
- This wallet added $57k as No climbed from 62¢ to 86¢, showing continued conviction at higher prices.
- No has moved sharply to 88¢ with a major pre-event volume spike behind it.
$57,161 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
89% winner joins Yes cluster
A highly profitable 89% winner is buying Yes alongside a 36-wallet one-sided cluster despite the market moving sharply lower.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.45M lifetime.
- 36 wallets are all buying Yes, totaling about $540K in the same direction.
- Entry at 23¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet after Yes fell 31% in a day.
$4,230 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
24-wallet No wave
High-conviction one-sided flow: a repeat new wallet joined a 24-wallet cluster buying No, with the price moving from 77¢ to 88¢.
- 24 wallets have bought the same side, totaling $209K on No.
- This new wallet has been flagged 7 times in 3 days and is already up $511.
- The trade entered at 77¢ and the market has moved to 88¢, showing strong follow-through.
$3,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor with 27-wallet flow
Sharp 89% lifetime winner bought United States Yes alongside a large 27-wallet same-direction cluster, despite the price later moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $123.7K lifetime.
- 27 wallets bought the same side for $226.9K, including 4 linked wallets.
- Entry at 44¢ implies they saw a much bigger chance than the current 32% market price.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
96% winner joins Yes cluster
A highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet flipped from No to Yes, backed by a 27-wallet one-sided Yes cluster, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $100k lifetime.
- 27 wallets bought the same Yes side for $227k, including linked wallets.
- They bought at 50¢ and Yes is now 32¢, so the same side is available much cheaper than their entry.
$1,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
99% winner joins Yes cluster
A highly successful serial cross-market bettor joined a 26-wallet Yes wave that moved the price up sharply before the match.
- This bettor has won 994 of 1,002 resolved bets and is up $17.2K lifetime.
- 26 wallets are all buying Yes, with $116.7K in same-direction flow and some linked funding.
- The market price has already moved from 39¢ to 46¢ after the wave of buying.
$1,336 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable trader joins Yes cluster
High-conviction Yes flow from a profitable serial cross-market trader and a 26-wallet same-direction cluster outweighs the fact this specific trade also closes a prior No position.
- This bettor is up $917k lifetime and has traded 58 events across 66 related markets.
- 26 wallets are all leaning Yes, with $116.7k in same-direction flow and 5 linked funders.
- The trade flips exposure away from No at an effective 51¢ Yes entry, suggesting reduced confidence in the No side.
$9,882 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
89% winner joins Yes cluster
A highly profitable 89% winner is buying Yes alongside a 36-wallet one-sided cluster despite the market moving sharply lower.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.45M lifetime.
- 36 wallets are all buying Yes, totaling about $540K in the same direction.
- Entry at 23¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet after Yes fell 31% in a day.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
56-wallet Yes surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow from 56 wallets totaling $1.18M, including 12 linked wallets, despite the main wallet lacking a proven edge.
- 56 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $1.18M on Yes.
- 12 of those wallets share a funder, suggesting one coordinated actor has major conviction.
- The market saw a 40-59x volume spike, and Yes is now much cheaper than many of the cluster’s earlier buys.
$161,153 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0xc67a...f0b6 — Yes, $3,030,389 (64% win rate)
- 0xaf72...f7f2 — Yes, $1,000,000
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $899,763
- 0x9703...69c2 — Yes, $342,287 (76% win rate)
- 0x3e17...d3d8 — Yes, $198,061 (100% win rate)
- 0x8f25...1e13 — Yes, $179,394
- 0x86f2...1db8 — Yes, $135,351 (100% win rate)
- 0x6266...242a — Yes, $132,679
- 0xb6d6...be17 — Yes, $120,370 (65% win rate)
- 0x85bb...9ada — Yes, $100,367 (88% win rate)
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