Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,574.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% winner swept Aurora

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate drove most of the Aurora buying, alongside one-sided flow and immediate price movement to 100%.

  • The lead bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.31M lifetime.
  • They bought about $12.9K of Aurora between 63¢ and 76¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
  • Four wallets pushed the same Aurora view, with volume spiking 25x around the move.

$16,949 on Aurora Gaming

Profitable serial esports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market esports trader is effectively buying TheMongolz alongside one-sided flow from four wallets and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 66% wins across 1,132 resolved bets and $333K in profit.
  • They are effectively buying TheMongolz at 28¢ while four wallets are on the same side for about $5.1K.
  • Market volume is spiking 13x before the event, suggesting fresh attention on this side.

$1,179 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 66%

3-wallet fade of favorite

Three high-volume esports wallets with modest but positive long-term P&L are aligned against the favorite on Map 2, with a $5.1k coordinated sell despite TheMongolz price rising sharply.

  • Three active esports bettors are all taking the same side, combining for $5.1k against the 84¢ favorite.
  • These wallets have over 3,000 resolved bets combined and are modestly profitable lifetime.
  • They entered around 55–67¢ while the market has moved to 84¢, so this is now a contrarian fade at a much worse public price.

$5,106 on Aurora Gaming

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial esports cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought TheMongolz despite a rapid price drop, creating a potentially contrarian copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 266 resolved bets, 58% wins, and about $70.9k profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $304.6k deployed across 91 markets in 61 events.
  • They bought TheMongolz at 60¢ while the price was falling, suggesting a contrarian view on the move.

$2,700 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 58%

Experienced trio backs favorite

Three experienced cross-market esports bettors put $7.6k on TheMongolz amid a major pre-event volume spike and one-sided flow.

  • Three wallets put $7.6k on the same side, buying TheMongolz around 59–60¢.
  • Two of the bettors have strong volume histories and are up about $70k each lifetime.
  • This market saw a 37.7x volume spike, suggesting fresh pre-match positioning.

$7,640 on TheMongolz

Top Holders

  1. 0xa69d...509b Outcome 10677332, $17,000 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x31b0...8bf3 Outcome 10677332, $10,000 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xa635...cf50 Outcome 10677332, $9,442
  4. 0x67bb...b6ef Outcome 10677332, $9,167 (62% win rate)
  5. 0x72aa...90e0 Outcome 10677332, $8,000 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x7645...3117 Outcome 63716568, $6,000 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x7a78...add7 Outcome 10677332, $5,550 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x3bae...885a Outcome 10677332, $4,500 (58% win rate)
  9. 0xaf6a...925f Outcome 10677332, $3,184 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xbc68...f899 Outcome 10677332, $2,373 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$33,574 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Aurora Gaming
102¢
67¢
33¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

7h ago

$16,949 on Aurora Gaming at 76¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

7h ago

$1,179 on TheMongolz at 28¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

7h ago

$5,106 on Aurora Gaming at 33¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

7h ago

$2,700 on TheMongolz at 60¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

8h ago

$7,640 on TheMongolz at 60¢

Related Theses