Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
39 signals across 3 markets · $154,665 tracked · resolves May 13, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage. Traders are pricing the match winner, with outcomes covering either TheMongolz or Aurora Gaming, and PolySpotter has flagged activity from a profitable serial esports bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner swept Aurora
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate drove most of the Aurora buying, alongside one-sided flow and immediate price movement to 100%.
$16,949Score: 21.5 - Sharp esports cluster
Seven wallets bought Aurora in the same burst, including a 92% winner up $2.3M, and the price quickly moved to 100%.
$12,795Score: 14.5 - 92% winner in 3-wallet push
Surfaced because three wallets, including a 92% winning bettor up $2.3M, all took the TheMongolz side with a sharp intramarket move despite the price later retracing.
$8,540Score: 12.6 - Experienced trio backs favorite
Three experienced cross-market esports bettors put $7.6k on TheMongolz amid a major pre-event volume spike and one-sided flow.
$7,640Score: 12.0 - Linked cluster buying Aurora
Three-wallet one-sided Aurora flow includes linked wallets and moved the market, with one very high-volume wallet showing strong lifetime profits despite only middling win rate.
$5,142Score: 11.2 - Profitable wallets buying dip
Three wallets bought TheMongolz together after a sharp dip, including a highly profitable repeat new-wallet signal and a wallet up $2.3M lifetime.
$4,878Score: 10.7 - Profitable serial esports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market esports trader is effectively buying TheMongolz alongside one-sided flow from four wallets and a pre-event volume spike.
$1,179Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 10.6 - 87% winning esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong cross-market history bought TheMongolz despite the price later moving against them.
$2,429Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 10.5 - Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large 327-bet history bought Aurora at 48¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.
$1,250Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 10.5 - 3-wallet fade of favorite
Three high-volume esports wallets with modest but positive long-term P&L are aligned against the favorite on Map 2, with a $5.1k coordinated sell despite TheMongolz price rising sharply.
$5,106Score: 9.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdd882a…dadb$11,730 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 70% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$10,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$5,913 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xa69d0c…509b$5,278 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0xd27cc7…c081$5,035 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x690248…b4ca$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x9770ca…0ff5$4,248 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0x871886…5040$3,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0xf3ef6a…ca6b$3,494 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming?
The event market prices the chance that either TheMongolz or Aurora Gaming wins the BO3 match. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart-money activity so you can see how market expectations are moving.
What outcomes are being traded for this CS2 match?
The market resolves to TheMongolz if they win the match, or Aurora Gaming if they win. It is focused on the overall BO3 match winner, not individual maps.
Is smart money betting on TheMongolz vs Aurora?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,358 in smart-money activity across this event, including a signal tied to a profitable serial esports bettor.
When does TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming resolve on Polymarket?
The market is scheduled around the PGL Astana Group Stage match and resolves once an official winner is determined, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules.