What does the GRVT FDV above $500M market predict?

It predicts whether GRVT’s governance token will reach a fully diluted valuation greater than $500 million one day after launch.

How is GRVT’s FDV calculated for this market?

The market uses fully diluted valuation, calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price at the resolution time.

When does this GRVT prediction market resolve?

It resolves at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after GRVT’s token launch. The market page lists a resolution date of January 1, 2028.

What counts as the GRVT token launch?

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable for the launch to count under the market rules.

What smart money activity is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,700 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including alerts from a profitable cross-market bettor.

Part of: GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether GRVT’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $500 million one day after its public, transferable trading launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, with resolution set for 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch; the listed resolution date is January 1, 2028. Current odds are not included in the provided market data, but PolySpotter tracks $1,700 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,299.

Categories: FDV, Crypto, GRVT, Pre-Market

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is effectively buying Yes in a thin GRVT FDV market while also positioning across related markets, with price momentum already moving in its favor.

This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $59K across $1.4M invested.
They are positioning across 3 related GRVT markets with $8.5K total exposure.
This trade effectively bought Yes at 15¢ in a thin market that has already moved toward 38¢.

$1,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable high-sample wallet is taking a cross-market No position on a thin GRVT FDV market, suggesting a researched thesis rather than a one-off bet.

This bettor has a strong track record: 73% wins across 639 resolved trades and $71k in profit.
They have put $6.9k across 3 related GRVT markets, pointing to a broader researched thesis.
This market is quiet, with only $3.1k traded in 24h, so a $1.6k No buy is meaningful flow.

$1,599 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

0xe5a5...24df — Outcome 38199318, $1,543
0x87ad...de46 — Outcome 38199318, $1,540
0xe8a3...b174 — Outcome 38199318, $1,231
0x2167...85ce — Outcome 38199318, $1,151
0x1254...9dec — Outcome 38199318, $1,042
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 38199318, $1,000
0x8127...e121 — Outcome 38199318, $843
0xece8...13fd — Outcome 38199318, $756
0x5657...b56c — Outcome 38199318, $701
0xe6fc...23db — Outcome 38199318, $588

Related Theses

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Fed hikes after July, by September

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GRVT launches between $200M-$300M

Covers 3 related markets

FDV will exceed $500M

Covers 3 related markets

Anthropic will IPO by October

Covers 2 related markets

Variational FDV tops $1B

Covers 2 related markets

GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?

476dGRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?$3,299 tracked2 signalsFDVCryptoGRVTPre-Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “No”

102¢

77¢

52¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction