Part of: Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,430.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Proven sharp backing Marlins

A highly proven bettor made a fresh $2,000 underdog wager, though the market has since moved sharply against it to 2%.

This bettor wins 83% of 562 resolved positions and is up $869,194 lifetime.
They made a fresh $2,000 bet on Miami at 48%, signaling substantial conviction in a major underdog.
The market has since fallen to 2%, making this a notable sharp-versus-market disagreement rather than a straightforward copy opportunity.

$2,000 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial trader adds to Marlins

A profitable serial cross-market trader added $8,340 to an existing Marlins position amid a 16.6x volume spike and 19.7% price rise.

This bettor has won 69% of 391 resolved trades and is up $376,161 lifetime.
They added $8,340 to an existing $14,200 Marlins position, showing increased conviction rather than a one-off bet.
Marlins price rose 19.7% alongside a 16.6x volume spike, corroborating the directional move.

$8,340 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp bettor backs Houston

A highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $11.1K bet on Houston at 53%.

This bettor wins 83% of 140 resolved positions and is up $4.22 million.
The wallet has demonstrated a 31-point edge over its average implied odds across $22.5 million invested.
A fresh $11,130 position backs Houston at 53%, near the current market price.

$11,130 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 84%

85% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven bettor with an 85% win rate and $258,316 profit made a sizable Astros position, though the market has since moved against the entry.

This bettor has won 203 of 240 resolved positions, with $258,316 in recorded profit.
They invested $3,646 on Houston at 61¢, showing strong conviction despite the market now pricing Houston near 52%.
The wallet has traded 275 events and 376 markets, providing a substantial sample behind the track record.

$7,186 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 85%

91% win-rate serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,400 purchase of Miami at 48%.

This bettor has won 91% of 3,993 resolved positions and earned $2.56 million in profit.
The trader typically buys around 49% odds, yet wins far above that implied rate, indicating a substantial proven edge.
A fresh $2,400 Miami position at 48% offers exposure near the bettor’s entry price in a liquid market.

$2,400 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor leads four-wallet Marlins cluster

A four-wallet Miami cluster includes a highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate at near-even odds, alongside a major volume spike and $16,133 of concentrated buying.

One bettor wins 91% of 3,989 resolved positions and is up $2.55 million, buying Miami at 48¢.
Four wallets concentrated $16,133 on Miami, including three wallets adding to existing positions.
The trades drove a 65x historical volume spike, though the market remains liquid and Miami is still priced near 48%.

$10,372 on Miami Marlins

98% win-rate serial bettor buys Miami

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and substantial edge bought Miami at 48%, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

This bettor has won 98% of 86 resolved positions and is up $649,722 lifetime.
The wallet typically enters around 44% odds, far below its 98% hit rate, indicating a substantial historical edge.
It placed a fresh $1,002 bet on Miami at 48% after trading 49 markets across 46 events.

$1,002 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

0x684b...8409 — Outcome 70289387, $40,000 (93% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 70289387, $21,566
0xaa77...15a5 — Outcome 70289387, $14,200 (72% win rate)
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 70289387, $10,000 (92% win rate)
0xd3fa...a26c — Outcome 70289387, $5,816 (85% win rate)
0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 70289387, $5,000 (44% win rate)
0x44a1...bd21 — Outcome 70289387, $4,167 (62% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 70289387, $4,102 (58% win rate)
0xa084...bb99 — Outcome 70289387, $4,088 (92% win rate)
0x5482...b6ee — Outcome 70289387, $3,000

Related Theses

Athletics win high-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Cardinals win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Low-scoring Valkyries keep it close

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros

ResolvedMiami Marlins vs. Houston Astros$42,430 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 22 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIA

52-51

Final

HOU

50-54

MIA -107HOU -112O/U 8

Venue

Daikin Park, Houston

Attendance

26,099

Price History — “Houston Astros”

102¢