Part of: US bank failure by June 30?
US bank failure by June 30?
This Polymarket market tracks whether any U.S. bank will fail by June 30, 2026, using the FDIC's official Failed Bank List as the resolution source. It resolves to "Yes" if a bank's FDIC-listed closing date falls within the market's timeframe; otherwise it resolves to "No." PolySpotter currently tracks $1,197 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,197.
Categories: Finance, Business, Economy
Notable Trades
97% winner caught move
A highly successful serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 88¢ before the market moved to 100¢, though the trade is now likely too expensive to chase.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $262K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 88¢ before the market jumped to 100¢, catching a sharp 12-point move.
- The bet was large relative to this quiet market, equal to about 64% of recent 24h volume.
$1,197 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x81a6...762e — Outcome 71417336, $1,000
- 0xd18d...c3d7 — Outcome 71417336, $304
- 0xec82...6eaa — Outcome 71417336, $100
- 0x0262...a9d2 — Outcome 71417336, $90
- 0xb94f...04d8 — Outcome 71417336, $54
- 0x9879...bc99 — Outcome 71417336, $50
- 0xa0dd...1b9b — Outcome 71417336, $50 (86% win rate)
- 0x9cb3...1367 — Outcome 71417336, $30
- 0xf528...7e5b — Outcome 71417336, $24
- 0x9c69...1938 — Outcome 71417336, $20
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