Part of: US bank failure by June 30?

US bank failure by June 30?

This Polymarket market tracks whether any U.S. bank will fail by June 30, 2026, using the FDIC's official Failed Bank List as the resolution source. It resolves to "Yes" if a bank's FDIC-listed closing date falls within the market's timeframe; otherwise it resolves to "No." PolySpotter currently tracks $1,197 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,197.

Categories: Finance, Business, Economy

Notable Trades

97% winner caught move

A highly successful serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 88¢ before the market moved to 100¢, though the trade is now likely too expensive to chase.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $262K lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 88¢ before the market jumped to 100¢, catching a sharp 12-point move.
  • The bet was large relative to this quiet market, equal to about 64% of recent 24h volume.

$1,197 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x81a6...762e Outcome 71417336, $1,000
  2. 0xd18d...c3d7 Outcome 71417336, $304
  3. 0xec82...6eaa Outcome 71417336, $100
  4. 0x0262...a9d2 Outcome 71417336, $90
  5. 0xb94f...04d8 Outcome 71417336, $54
  6. 0x9879...bc99 Outcome 71417336, $50
  7. 0xa0dd...1b9b Outcome 71417336, $50 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x9cb3...1367 Outcome 71417336, $30
  9. 0xf528...7e5b Outcome 71417336, $24
  10. 0x9c69...1938 Outcome 71417336, $20

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US bank failure by June 30?

26dUS bank failure by June 30?$1,197 tracked1 signalFinanceBusinessEconomy

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.

Notable Trades

US bank failure by June 30?

33d ago

$1,197 on Yes at 88¢

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