Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
This Polymarket asks whether the active month of WTI crude oil futures will print a 1-minute candle high of $110 or more at any point before the end of April 2026. The market resolves Yes if that price is touched on a qualifying 1-minute high, and No if WTI stays below $110 through the final trading day of April. Resolution is scheduled for April 30, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,035.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
88% winner adds event thesis
A highly profitable 88% win-rate trader with broad commodity-event coverage just made a fresh $3.25k buy on No, signaling a strong cross-market thesis rather than routine position management.
- This bettor wins 88% of their trades and is up $418k across 180 resolved markets
- They have traded 7 markets in this same oil event and 54 related markets overall, which points to a repeatable cross-market edge
- They bought No at 82¢ after this market fell nearly 50 points in a week, suggesting they still see the spike-to-$110 scenario as overpriced
$3,254 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
87% win-rate oil bettor
A high-performing wallet with an 87% win rate and strong profits is expressing the same thesis across five related oil markets, adding a copyable directional signal despite the modest single-trade size.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up about $574k lifetime
- They have placed $14.6k across 5 related oil markets, showing a coordinated event-wide view
- They bought No at 88¢ after this market fell 35 points in a week, backing the view that $110 is unlikely in April
$1,576 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable oil thesis trader
A profitable wallet with 80 resolved bets is expressing the same cross-market oil view across 4 related markets, making this a credible thesis trade despite the modest single-ticket size.
- This bettor wins 71% of their trades and is up $121.5k across 80 resolved markets
- They have put $90k across 4 related oil markets, pointing to a broader event thesis rather than a one-off bet
- This trade buys No at 78¢ in a liquid market, showing a high-confidence view that WTI will stay below $110 this month
$1,701 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable oil thesis trader
A profitable wallet with a 71% win rate is making a large cross-market commodities bet, buying No at 77¢ after a sharp 1-day drop in Yes odds.
- This bettor has won 57 of 80 resolved trades and is up $121.5k overall
- They placed a $22.5k bet as part of a 4-market oil thesis worth $110.9k total
- Buying No at 77¢ came after Yes odds fell 20.5 points in a day, showing strong momentum behind the move
$22,540 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
9-wallet oil cluster
A 9-wallet linked cluster with a profitable history is buying into the same WTI upside event after a sharp price drop, making this coordinated flow worth tracking.
- 9 linked wallets funded by the same address have been betting this WTI event together
- This wallet has won 69% of 39 resolved bets and is up nearly $4,000
- The trade was effectively a buy on Yes at 30¢ while the market had just dropped 44.5% in a day
$1,193 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
A profitable wallet with a 76% win rate is building a multi-market WTI thesis, and this buy follows a strong 1-day price move in an active event market.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $30k lifetime
- They have put $16.3k across 4 related WTI markets, which suggests a broader event thesis rather than a one-off bet
- This market is already up 36 points in a day, and they still bought Yes at 82¢
$1,484 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
93% win-rate oil bettor
A bettor with a 93% win rate and positive P&L is building a cross-market oil thesis, buying this outcome at 72¢ before a sharp move higher.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $39k lifetime.
- They are betting across 2 related oil markets, which suggests a broader event thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought Yes at 72¢ and the market is already up to 75% after a 39-point jump in the last day.
$2,837 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
77% win-rate oil bettor
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 77% win rate bought Yes at 46¢ on a sizable April WTI target market, making this a credible thesis-driven trade worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $72k across $622k invested
- They trade repeatedly across related events — 53 markets in 46 events suggests a real macro process, not a random punt
- Bought Yes at 46¢ after a 12-point one-day drop, implying they see the oil spike odds as higher than the market does
$4,451 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x94a4...6356 — Yes, $378,424 (100% win rate)
- 0xa80e...b94b — No, $360,255 (33% win rate)
- 0x1a29...9b2e — No, $31,467 (71% win rate)
- 0xff30...4a37 — No, $25,370 (62% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — No, $21,717 (61% win rate)
- 0xad26...589c — Yes, $19,442
- 0xd1a4...8178 — No, $15,873 (48% win rate)
- 0xbfb3...4b43 — No, $14,522
- 0x5007...edda — Yes, $11,078
- 0xd4aa...d40c — No, $9,084
