Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œIran loses Kharg Island by Decemberโ€

This trader is expressing a view that Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?, Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?, Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? are correlated outcomes, committing $8,982 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
    $2,238 @ 90ยข
  2. 2Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
    $2,944 @ 90ยข
  3. 3Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
    $3,800 @ 87ยข
Iran loses Kharg Island by December โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter