Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,252.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Sharp World Cup contrarian
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% track record is buying Norway No at 14¢ as part of a broader cross-market World Cup thesis.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $169k lifetime.
- They have put $18.5k across 4 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- This $3.4k No buy was about 60% of recent daily volume, a meaningful bet in a quiet market.
$3,360 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%
New World Cup whale
A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly making large World Cup futures bets, including a $3.6k Yes buy that dominated recent Norway volume.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made 15 notable large bets totaling $41k.
- The $3.6k Norway Yes buy was about 2.7x the market’s recent daily volume.
- The same wallet has spread $9.4k across 3 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
$3,642 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Known cluster fades Norway
High-severity linked-wallet signal from a known 6-wallet funded cluster taking a contrarian No position on Norway, with related World Cup positioning across three markets.
- A known six-wallet funded cluster is behind this trade, making it more notable than a single isolated bet.
- The group has $7.6k positioned across 3 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 15¢ on No implies they see Norway’s 84% advance odds as too high.
$2,424 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Elite sports whale buying Yes
Elite wallet with an 86% long-term win record and $7.5M profit bought a large Yes position on a thin Norway qualification market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $7.5M lifetime.
- They put $6.2K on Yes at 84¢, a large bet relative to this quiet market’s recent volume.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with activity across 307 events and nearly $4.8M tracked volume.
$6,213 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
New wallet attacking thin market
A 23-day-old repeat large bettor bought $3.6k of Norway Yes on an extremely quiet market, moving in at prices below current odds despite limited wallet history.
- A 23-day-old wallet put $3.6k on Yes, over 10x this market’s 24h volume.
- The bettor has now made $5.7k of flagged World Cup positions across 3 related markets.
- One fill came at 74¢ and the market is already around 82¢, suggesting early price impact.
$3,613 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Related Theses
KT comeback wins in three
Covers 3 related markets
Natus Vincere wins extended series
Covers 3 related markets
HANJIN BRION sweeps series
Covers 3 related markets
Karmine wins, T1 takes Game 3
Covers 3 related markets
DN SOOPers win in three
Covers 4 related markets
BNK FEARX upset Hanwha Life
Covers 4 related markets
