Part of: US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino

US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $233,720.

Notable Trades

Serial trader ahead of Mannarino surge

A serial cross-market trader bought Mannarino at 85¢ before a 32-point surge, while a volume spike reinforces the move despite only moderate historical edge.

This serial trader has participated across 96 events and 113 markets, with 2,833 resolved bets and a 73% win rate.
The $1,243 Mannarino purchase at 85¢ preceded a 32-percentage-point price jump, alongside a 10.9x volume spike.
The wallet was adding to an existing Mannarino position, so this reflects increased conviction rather than a fresh standalone bet.

$1,243 on Adrian Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor scaling into Mannarino

A highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge added $25.5K to an existing Adrian Mannarino position before the market repriced from 51% to 82%.

This bettor wins 82% of 309 resolved bets and is up about $852K lifetime.
They added $25,472 to an existing Mannarino position at 51¢, showing increased conviction before the price rose to 82¢.
Market volume surged to roughly 33 times its historical average, reinforcing the significance of the move.

$25,472 on Adrian Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 82%

New whale scaling into Mannarino

A one-day-old repeat wallet with $306K reported profit is aggressively adding to Adrian Mannarino despite the market repricing the outcome to 24%.

This one-day-old wallet has repeated 26 times and reports $306,096 in profit with a 3-0 resolved record.
It added $58,362 to Adrian Mannarino around 33–35¢ while already holding $181,961 in the same outcome.
The market now prices Mannarino at 24%, creating a potentially attractive entry if the bettor’s conviction is well-founded.

$62,792 on Adrian Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 63%

New whale scaling into Mannarino

A one-day-old repeat wallet with $306K reported profit is aggressively adding to Adrian Mannarino despite the market repricing the outcome to 24%.

This one-day-old wallet has repeated 26 times and reports $306,096 in profit with a 3-0 resolved record.
It added $58,362 to Adrian Mannarino around 33–35¢ while already holding $181,961 in the same outcome.
The market now prices Mannarino at 24%, creating a potentially attractive entry if the bettor’s conviction is well-founded.

$58,362 on Adrian Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 63%

95% winner scaling into Tirante

A highly experienced serial trader with a 95% win rate added to a large Tirante position amid an extreme volume spike, though the wallet's average winning entry is already very high.

This bettor has won 95% of 182 resolved trades and is up $312,900 lifetime.
The new $1,159 purchase adds to an existing $35,900 Tirante position, signaling continued conviction despite the price falling from 61¢ to 56¢.
The market saw a 649.8x historical volume spike, while this wallet has traded across 53 events and $950,000 in volume.

$8,700 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor leads five-wallet surge

Five wallets committed $62.6K to Tirante, led by a highly profitable 90% win-rate bettor whose $50K entry preceded a 27-point price surge.

A bettor with a 90% win rate across 318 resolved markets bought $50,000 of Tirante at 59¢.
Five wallets collectively bought $62,604 on Tirante, alongside a 448x volume spike and a 15-point daily price increase.
The largest position is already up substantially as Tirante moved from 59¢ to 86%, signaling unusually strong early conviction.

$62,604 on Thiago Agustin Tirante

Serial trader scaling into Mannarino

A highly active trader added $3,600 to an existing Adrian Mannarino position amid a 1,718x historical volume spike, providing a meaningful but not proven sharp signal.

The trader added $3,600 to an existing $9,000 Adrian Mannarino position at 40¢, signaling increased conviction.
This market saw a 1,718x spike versus its historical trading average across five trades.
The wallet has 4,930 resolved bets and is up $489,000, though its 60% win rate is not independently exceptional.

$3,600 on Adrian Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 61%

Three-wallet Mannarino accumulation

Three wallets added $10.3K to Adrian Mannarino, including a 69% winner, amid a dramatic volume spike despite the outcome trading at just 44%.

Three wallets collectively added $10,293 to Adrian Mannarino, with all positions built at 40–43¢.
The strongest wallet wins 69% of 112 resolved bets and is up $20,604 lifetime.
The buying followed a 649.8x volume spike while Mannarino remained priced at only 44%, suggesting notable conviction against the recent move.

$6,135 on Adrian Mannarino

95% winner scaling into Tirante

A highly experienced serial trader with a 95% win rate added to a large Tirante position amid an extreme volume spike, though the wallet's average winning entry is already very high.

This bettor has won 95% of 182 resolved trades and is up $312,900 lifetime.
The new $1,159 purchase adds to an existing $35,900 Tirante position, signaling continued conviction despite the price falling from 61¢ to 56¢.
The market saw a 649.8x historical volume spike, while this wallet has traded across 53 events and $950,000 in volume.

$1,159 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 89%

95% winner scales into Tirante

A highly profitable 95% win-rate serial trader is adding $3,653 to an existing Tirante position in an unusually quiet market.

This bettor has won 138 of 146 resolved trades (95%) and is up $416,354.
They added $3,653 to an existing Tirante position despite the market having only $722 in 24-hour volume.
The trader has positioned across 103 markets and 102 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.

$3,653 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 84997836, $59,774 (65% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 84997836, $10,920 (58% win rate)
0x7e65...694f — Outcome 84997836, $8,902 (76% win rate)
0xce50...f46e — Outcome 84997836, $5,887 (62% win rate)
0x153a...9d6d — Outcome 84997836, $5,460 (64% win rate)
0x979f...4032 — Outcome 84997836, $5,073 (94% win rate)
0xf8ab...13a1 — Outcome 84997836, $3,000 (70% win rate)
0x1b8f...cca7 — Outcome 84997836, $3,000 (66% win rate)
0xf5a3...9e12 — Outcome 84997836, $2,778
0x86b1...c094 — Outcome 84997836, $2,466 (37% win rate)

Related Theses

US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino$233,720 tracked10 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Adrian Mannarino”

93¢

54¢

15¢