US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
12 signals across 2 markets · $259,211 tracked · resolves Sep 6, 2026
Explore Polymarket prediction-market odds for the US Open ATP match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino. The event tracks both possible winners, with PolySpotter monitoring $3,653 in smart-money activity and an alert highlighting traders scaling into Tirante.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% winner adds with six-wallet cluster
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to a Mannarino position alongside five linked wallets after entering at a substantial discount to current odds.
$1,613Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.5 - Sharp bettor leads five-wallet surge
Five wallets committed $62.6K to Tirante, led by a highly profitable 90% win-rate bettor whose $50K entry preceded a 27-point price surge.
$62,604Score: 8.2 - Three-wallet Mannarino accumulation
Three wallets added $10.3K to Adrian Mannarino, including a 69% winner, amid a dramatic volume spike despite the outcome trading at just 44%.
$6,135Score: 6.3 - 94% winner makes thin-market bet
A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor placed a concentrated $23.9K bet on Tirante in an exceptionally thin market, despite the price later falling sharply.
$23,878Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 6.2 - Serial trader ahead of Mannarino surge
A serial cross-market trader bought Mannarino at 85¢ before a 32-point surge, while a volume spike reinforces the move despite only moderate historical edge.
$1,243Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 6.0 - 95% winner scaling into Tirante
A highly experienced serial trader with a 95% win rate added to a large Tirante position amid an extreme volume spike, though the wallet's average winning entry is already very high.
$1,159Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.3 - New whale scaling into Mannarino
A one-day-old repeat wallet with $306K reported profit is aggressively adding to Adrian Mannarino despite the market repricing the outcome to 24%.
$62,792Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 5.1 - New whale scaling into Mannarino
A one-day-old repeat wallet with $306K reported profit is aggressively adding to Adrian Mannarino despite the market repricing the outcome to 24%.
$58,362Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 5.0 - Sharp bettor scaling into Mannarino
A highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge added $25.5K to an existing Adrian Mannarino position before the market repriced from 51% to 82%.
$25,472Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.0 - Serial trader scaling into Mannarino
A highly active trader added $3,600 to an existing Adrian Mannarino position amid a 1,718x historical volume spike, providing a meaningful but not proven sharp signal.
$3,600Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 4.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2dfa4e…6f60$121,154 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x0353aa…c2ff$25,472 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$23,878 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x9bb1bc…4dbe$9,859 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 89% wins
- 0x979fc1…4032$3,653 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x6485f4…a265$3,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0xc34b49…9296$1,613 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xaa57cd…a128$1,243 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Tirante vs Mannarino?
The Polymarket event tracks the probability of either Thiago Agustin Tirante or Adrian Mannarino advancing. Check the live market prices on this page for the latest odds.
What is smart money betting on in Tirante vs Mannarino?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,653 in smart-money activity across the event and one signal. The latest alert says, “95% winner scales into Tirante,” indicating notable activity favoring Tirante.
When is the Tirante vs Mannarino match scheduled?
The US Open ATP match is scheduled for August 30, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET.
When does the Tirante vs Mannarino prediction market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by September 6, 2026, once the match winner is determined. It resolves to the player who advances.