Part of: UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
This Polymarket covers the UFC Fight Night women’s strawweight prelim between Alice Ardelean and Polyana Viana, scheduled for May 16, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live market odds plus $8,272 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including alerts on underdog and favorite backing. The market is expected to resolve after the official fight result, with a 50-50 resolution if the bout is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Alice Ardelean" if Alice Ardelean is officially declared the winner of the fight against Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Polyana Viana" if Polyana Viana is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,272.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
94% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought Polyana Viana at 37¢ amid a sharp pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $349K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $521K tracked across 25 events.
- Entry at 37¢ backs the underdog despite heavy pre-fight volume moving through the market.
$3,893 on Polyana Viana | Wallet win rate: 94%
Elite bettor backing underdog
Elite profitable sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and $2.4M lifetime profit bought Polyana Viana at 35¢ amid a sharp pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.4M lifetime.
- They are a major serial sports trader, with $4.2M deployed across 884 markets.
- Entry at 35¢ backs the underdog despite the market currently pricing Polyana around 36%.
$1,643 on Polyana Viana | Wallet win rate: 89%
94% winner backs favorite
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has an exceptional 94% resolved win rate and $209k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $209k lifetime.
- They bought $2.7k of Alice Ardelean at 64¢, backing the current favorite with a strong track record.
- Entry at 64¢ implies they still see value despite the market already pricing Ardelean as likely to win.
$2,736 on Alice Ardelean | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x1136...0c2e — Alice Ardelean, $20,308 (64% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Polyana Viana, $12,311 (91% win rate)
- 0xd81e...e3d0 — Polyana Viana, $10,631 (94% win rate)
- 0xdd9d...b730 — Alice Ardelean, $10,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xf5e1...5ad0 — Alice Ardelean, $6,888 (50% win rate)
- 0x0a77...9d74 — Polyana Viana, $5,260
- 0xd696...8a49 — Polyana Viana, $4,694 (89% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Alice Ardelean, $3,072 (53% win rate)
- 0xa710...23c4 — Polyana Viana, $2,907 (55% win rate)
- 0xed10...d2e5 — Polyana Viana, $2,000 (89% win rate)
