Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
This prediction market covers the best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match between Natus Vincere and Spirit in Round 1 of IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for June 11, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $4,507 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent sharp-wallet alerts highlighting Spirit interest. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, unless it is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated resolution window.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,803.
Categories: counter strike 2, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
99% winner buying Spirit
Surface: a highly profitable 99% win-rate bettor joined a 3-wallet Spirit buy cluster at 64¢, despite the market being liquid.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 99% of resolved bets and is up $239k lifetime.
- They bought Spirit at 64¢ alongside two other wallets for $4.5k total on the same side.
- This wallet has traded across 76 events with a 99% hit rate, making the bettor the main reason to follow this move.
$4,507 on Spirit
99% win-rate esports sharp
Elite proven bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit at 64¢.
- This bettor has won 362 of 367 resolved positions and is up $239K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 75 events with a 99% hit rate.
- A $2K buy on Spirit at 64¢ aligns with the current market but comes from an unusually strong track record.
$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 99%
Profitable new wallet fading favorite
A 5-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early profits is closing Spirit, which converts to a buy on Natus Vincere, though this looks more like de-risking than a fresh all-in position.
- This 5-day-old wallet is already up $3.3K and has been flagged 7 times for large bets.
- The trade effectively backs Natus Vincere at 37¢ against the 64¢ favorite Spirit.
- This is a position close rather than a fresh buy, so the signal is weaker than a clean new entry.
$2,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% win-rate bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L is buying Natus Vincere at 37¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $17,069 lifetime.
- Their past wins came at about 50¢ on average, suggesting real edge rather than just betting heavy favorites.
- They are buying Natus Vincere at 37¢ in a liquid market, implying they see meaningful upside versus current odds.
$1,020 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%
92% winner backing favorite
Sharp esports bettor with a 92% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Spirit at 64¢ despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved positions and is up $7.2K lifetime.
- They are backing Spirit with a fresh $1K buy at 64¢ in a liquid match market.
- Their past wins came at 57¢ average odds, suggesting they have beaten market expectations before.
$1,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%
84% winner buying favorite
Surface because this is a proven profitable wallet with an 84% resolved-bet win rate buying Spirit despite the alert's modest size and score.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $1,530 lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by about 18 percentage points on average.
- They bought Spirit at 64¢ in a liquid market, matching the current favorite price.
$1,081 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 84%
93% winner backs underdog
Elite sharp wallet with 93% win rate and $720k profit is buying Natus Vincere for $10k at 37¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $720k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market record: 903 events and $1.8M invested.
- Entry at 37¢ backs the underdog and implies they see meaningful upside.
$10,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader is taking a fresh underdog position on Natus Vincere at 36¢.
- This bettor has won 61% of 423 resolved bets and is up $503k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 182 events with $1.17M in flagged flow.
- Buying Natus Vincere at 36¢ implies they see value in the underdog versus Spirit.
$1,911 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable new esports bettor
A repeat new wallet with early positive P&L is making another $3k esports bet, though the track record is still short and the market is liquid.
- This new wallet is already up $5.2k on $51.6k invested after repeated large-bet alerts.
- They bought $3.0k of Spirit at 65¢, backing the current favorite in a liquid esports market.
- The resolved record is still small at 5 wins and 4 losses, so this is more early momentum than proven sharpness.
$3,003 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 56%
91% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 91% resolved win rate is buying Natus Vincere at 37¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $528K lifetime.
- They have bet across 226 events with over $2.16M deployed, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
- Entry at 37¢ backs the underdog and implies they see Natus Vincere as mispriced.
$2,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x1136...0c2e — Natus Vincere, $67,472 (49% win rate)
- 0x73e3...1be9 — Spirit, $44,393 (100% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Natus Vincere, $34,976 (61% win rate)
- 0x988d...9899 — Natus Vincere, $27,150 (93% win rate)
- 0xe40e...9770 — Natus Vincere, $18,430 (94% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Spirit, $15,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x5f45...a77a — Spirit, $15,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x6902...b4ca — Spirit, $14,320 (95% win rate)
- 0x8cbf...0eb4 — Spirit, $10,000 (64% win rate)
- 0xb7f5...c669 — Natus Vincere, $9,000 (47% win rate)
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