Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $114,932.
Categories: counter strike 2, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
74% serial cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a 74% record over 687 resolved bets bought Spirit at 90¢ before the market moved to 94¢.
- This bettor has won 74% of 687 resolved bets and is up $22,459 lifetime.
- They have traded across 27 events and 36 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- They bought Spirit at 90¢, and the market has already moved to 94¢.
$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable esports contrarian cluster
High-score contrarian Natus Vincere cluster led by a profitable high-volume cross-market bettor, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- A high-volume bettor with $626K lifetime profit is taking the underdog side here.
- Three wallets all positioned on Natus Vincere, totaling $8.6K in the same direction.
- The market has moved against them from roughly 19¢ entry to 8¢, so the copy price is much better but riskier.
$8,608 on Natus Vincere
Profitable serial trader joins cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Natus Vincere alongside a 10-wallet one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has made $240K profit across 391 resolved bets with a 71% win rate.
- 10 wallets bought the same side for nearly $96K, showing strong one-way conviction.
- Volume spiked 73x before the match, suggesting unusual pre-event positioning.
$1,152 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 75%
10-wallet same-side esports cluster
High one-sided coordinated flow and a 73x pre-event volume spike make the Natus Vincere side worth surfacing despite this specific wallet's weak history.
- 10 wallets are betting the same way, totaling about $95.7k on this side.
- Market volume spiked 73x before the match, suggesting a strong pre-event move.
- This trade is equivalent to buying Natus Vincere at 37¢, while the market is currently around 28¢.
$1,966 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 40%
Perfect-record bettor on Spirit
Surface this because a wallet with a perfect 22-for-22 resolved record and strong profit is buying Spirit despite the market already being liquid.
- This bettor has won 22 of 22 resolved bets and is up $14.7K lifetime.
- They are buying Spirit at 64¢, implying confidence even in a highly traded market.
- The market also saw a 23.9x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum to the bet.
$1,920 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 99%
25-wallet sharp Spirit cluster
A large 25-wallet Spirit cluster with linked funding, sharp bettors, serial cross-market winners, and a 17-point price move makes this a strong coordinated-flow signal despite some opposing NAVI buying.
- 25 wallets bought $67k of Spirit, with 7 wallets sharing a funder.
- Several proven bettors joined the same side, including wallets with 100%, 89%, and 80% winning records.
- Spirit moved from the mid-60¢ range to 82¢ as the flow hit, with volume running 37x above normal.
$66,989 on Spirit
99% win-rate esports sharp
Elite proven bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit at 64¢.
- This bettor has won 362 of 367 resolved positions and is up $239K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 75 events with a 99% hit rate.
- A $2K buy on Spirit at 64¢ aligns with the current market but comes from an unusually strong track record.
$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable new wallet fading favorite
A 5-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early profits is closing Spirit, which converts to a buy on Natus Vincere, though this looks more like de-risking than a fresh all-in position.
- This 5-day-old wallet is already up $3.3K and has been flagged 7 times for large bets.
- The trade effectively backs Natus Vincere at 37¢ against the 64¢ favorite Spirit.
- This is a position close rather than a fresh buy, so the signal is weaker than a clean new entry.
$2,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% win-rate bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L is buying Natus Vincere at 37¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $17,069 lifetime.
- Their past wins came at about 50¢ on average, suggesting real edge rather than just betting heavy favorites.
- They are buying Natus Vincere at 37¢ in a liquid market, implying they see meaningful upside versus current odds.
$1,020 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%
92% winner backing favorite
Sharp esports bettor with a 92% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Spirit at 64¢ despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved positions and is up $7.2K lifetime.
- They are backing Spirit with a fresh $1K buy at 64¢ in a liquid match market.
- Their past wins came at 57¢ average odds, suggesting they have beaten market expectations before.
$1,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x47a8...52f9 — Outcome 13844129, $91,408 (98% win rate)
- 0x5291...d4b6 — Outcome 13844129, $44,837 (100% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Outcome 13844129, $34,976 (72% win rate)
- 0x988d...9899 — Outcome 13844129, $27,150 (94% win rate)
- 0xf989...47cc — Outcome 13844129, $18,730 (71% win rate)
- 0xe015...6ffd — Outcome 13844129, $18,448 (90% win rate)
- 0xbdf7...a6c3 — Outcome 13844129, $16,045 (86% win rate)
- 0xc568...1a8c — Outcome 13844129, $10,811 (55% win rate)
- 0xf559...f462 — Outcome 13844129, $6,669 (94% win rate)
- 0x63ad...790c — Outcome 13844129, $5,196 (90% win rate)
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