Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,567.

Categories: Culture, Tweet Markets, Politics

Notable Trades

18-wallet funded Yes cluster

An 18-wallet funded cluster is concentrating on Yes, although this wallet is adding to an existing position rather than opening a fresh trade.

18 wallets sharing a funder have collectively positioned on the same outcome, a strong coordinated-conviction signal.
This wallet added $3,894 at 86¢ to an existing Yes position, while the market has since moved to 100%.
The trader is profitable overall with $40,197 in reported P&L, though its 64% win rate is not independently exceptional.

$3,894 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Serial sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate is buying Yes at 60% amid strong upward momentum.

This bettor has won 82% of 879 resolved trades and earned $206,496 in profit.
The wallet has traded across 45 markets spanning 38 events, indicating a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
Yes is being bought at 60¢ after rising 28% in one day and 44% over the week.

$1,673 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 50266282, $117,417
0x24b9...b040 — Outcome 50266282, $5,753
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 50266282, $3,255
0x97ff...d095 — Outcome 50266282, $2,432 (73% win rate)
0xfd5c...6d2a — Outcome 50266282, $2,120 (34% win rate)
0x122c...fbed — Outcome 50266282, $1,994 (63% win rate)
0x2304...6541 — Outcome 50266282, $1,806
0x524d...4495 — Outcome 50266282, $831 (78% win rate)
0xeb50...f025 — Outcome 50266282, $625
0x4f1e...bffb — Outcome 50266282, $500

Related Theses

Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?$5,567 tracked2 signalsCultureTweet MarketsPolitics

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

55¢

8¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction