Part of: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

This event refers to Game 5 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,474.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball, MLB Playoffs

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Guardians accumulation

Three wallets added $35,800 to Cleveland positions amid a 111.7x volume spike, providing a notable coordinated directional signal despite the wallets already holding substantial positions.

  • Three wallets bought $35,800 of Cleveland, adding to substantial positions they already held.
  • Most reported buys were between 34¢ and 44¢, while Cleveland is currently around 42¢.
  • Market volume was 111.7 times its historical average, and one participating wallet has an 80% win rate across 40 resolved bets.

$35,800 on Cleveland Guardians

Proven sharp in three-wallet Rays flow

A highly profitable bettor with a substantial long-term edge bought Tampa Bay as two other wallets joined the same side amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 3,311 resolved positions and earned about $6.2M.
  • Three wallets bought Tampa Bay for $17,278 as market activity spiked 111.7× above average.
  • The bettor paid 60¢ for Tampa Bay, while the market is currently around 58–59¢.

$5,853 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 88%

Three-wallet Rays buying cluster

A three-wallet Tampa Bay Rays buying cluster coincides with a 111.7x pre-event volume spike, and this profitable veteran trader is adding to an existing position.

  • Three wallets bought the Rays in the same direction, totaling $17,278.
  • Trading volume surged to 111.7 times its historical average, with 15 trades in the scan window.
  • This veteran bettor is adding $8,102 to an existing Rays position and is up $272,260 overall.

$8,102 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 56%

Three-wallet Rays buying cluster

Three wallets put about $5.4k toward Tampa Bay, including two direct buys after an 11% daily price decline, though the market is liquid and some flow may be position management.

  • Three wallets aligned on Tampa Bay, with two direct buys totaling about $4.1k.
  • The buys came after the Rays price fell 11% in a day; one buyer has a $525k lifetime profit across 1,726 resolved bets.
  • The market is fairly liquid, and one trade may be closing an existing Guardians position, so the cluster is a moderate rather than decisive signal.

$5,371 on Tampa Bay Rays

92% winner taking the Rays

A proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge is selling Cleveland, which converts to a Rays buy.

  • This bettor has won 97 of 106 resolved positions, averaging 48¢ entry odds, and is up $140,485.
  • Selling Cleveland at 45¢ translates to buying Tampa Bay at about 55¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 62 events, showing a sustained cross-market track record.

$1,223 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial cross-market whale

A highly active, historically profitable trader made a $1,125 Guardians bet that is nearly four times the market’s 24-hour volume, though their win rate does not exceed their typical winning price.

  • This trader is up $8.7M across more than 134,000 resolved bets.
  • The $1,125 Guardians bet is nearly 4× the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • They entered at 48¢ while the current market price is about 46¢.

$1,125 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 70%

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians$57,474 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseballMLB Playoffs
Tampa Bay Rays
100¢
Cleveland Guardians
0¢

This event refers to Game 5 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TB
7
98-64
Final
CLE
3
85-77
TB -108CLE -104O/U 6.5Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
33,355

Notable Trades

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-18 01:54 UTC

$35,800 on Cleveland Guardians at 38¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-18 01:57 UTC

$5,853 on Tampa Bay Rays at 60¢

60¢→100¢↑40¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-18 01:57 UTC

$8,102 on Tampa Bay Rays at 58¢

58¢→100¢↑42¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-18 00:51 UTC

$5,371 on Tampa Bay Rays at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-17 09:28 UTC

$1,223 on Tampa Bay Rays at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-16 14:52 UTC

$1,125 on Cleveland Guardians at 48¢

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