Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,604.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

85% serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate bought Yes at 90¢ amid a major upward breakout in Australia advancement odds.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $42k lifetime across $5.1M invested.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 230 events and 308 markets.
  • Australia’s Yes odds have jumped about 42 percentage points, and this wallet still bought at 90¢.

$1,073 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

New wallet World Cup thesis

New repeat bettor is building a cross-market World Cup thesis, with a $2.5k No buy that is large relative to recent activity in a quiet market.

  • A 28-day-old wallet has now put $11.7k across 5 related World Cup markets.
  • This $2.5k No buy is large for a quiet market, about 88% of listed 24h volume.
  • Entry at 52¢ backs Australia missing the knockout stage while the market is still near even odds.

$2,531 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0x810d...0d24 Outcome 53730364, $6,007 (50% win rate)
  2. 0x51fd...4272 Outcome 53730364, $3,290
  3. 0xaf7a...0c40 Outcome 53730364, $2,622 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xda3a...381f Outcome 53730364, $2,459 (52% win rate)
  5. 0xb581...0308 Outcome 53730364, $2,331 (42% win rate)
  6. 0x825a...f465 Outcome 53730364, $2,082
  7. 0x976a...e8ec Outcome 53730364, $1,091
  8. 0xf7bb...a9f7 Outcome 53730364, $1,085 (69% win rate)
  9. 0x933c...a8c6 Outcome 53730364, $1,053 (77% win rate)
  10. 0x3e88...0c70 Outcome 53730364, $1,000

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Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$3,604 tracked2 signalsFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccerTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

34d ago

$1,073 on Yes at 90¢

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

40d ago

$2,531 on No at 52¢

Related Theses